Journal of Finance and Economics
Volume 6, No. 1 (2017), 22-34
ISSN 2291-4951 E-ISSN 2291-496X
Published by Science and Education Centre of North America
~ 22 ~
Unemployment Orthodoxy: Fiscal or Monetary Policy?
Case Study of France
Nahid Kalbasi Anaraki
1
*
1
School of Business and Technology Management, Northcentral University, USA
*Correspondence: Nahid Kalbasi Anaraki, School of Business and Technology Management, Northcentral
University, AZ, United States. Email: nkalbasianaraki@ncu.edu
Received: May 28, 2017 Accepted: July 5, 2017 Online Published: August 31, 2017
DOI: 10.12735/jfe.v6n1p22 URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.12735/jfe.v6n1p22
Copyright © N. Kalbasi Anaraki
**
Abstract
France’s economy has suffered from an unprecedented unemployment rate of above 10% over the past
decade. The topic is widely debated among economists; while monetary economists argue contractionary
monetary policy and austerity plans are the roots of high unemployment rate, New Keynesians believe
fiscal policy and high corporate tax rates are the roots of problem. Lucas critique conjectures that
monetary policy has only short term effects on real variables including unemployment. This study tests the
hypothesis whether fiscal policy plays a more important role than monetary policy in shaping
unemployment in France. The paper implements several econometric models to find out which group of
policy variables is more effective in combating unemployment. Indeed, the study tests the hypothesis
whether New Keynesian models have a better prediction power in explaining unemployment rate than
New Classical models. Implementing quarterly data for the period of 1980-2015 and using OLS and
GMM techniques the study finds out fiscal policy variables are the most important factors in shaping
unemployment rate in France, supporting New Keynesian proposition.
JEL Classifications: E24, J23, C20, C50
Keywords: Fiscal policy, monetary policy, new Keynesian model, classical theory of unemployment,
wage stickiness, unemployment benefit, Lucas critique
1. Introduction
1.1. Introduction to the Problem
The financial recession in 2007 has led to stagnation and persistent unemployment in several European
economies. Despite low levels of short term interest rates, many economies in Europe still suffer from
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This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Licensee: Science and Education Centre of North America
How to cite this paper: Kalbasi Anaraki, N. (2017). Unemployment orthodoxy: Fiscal or monetary policy? Case
study of France. Journal of Finance and Economics, 6(1), 22-34. http://dx.doi.org/10.12735/jfe.v6n1p22