Proceedings of the 2015 Winter Simulation Conference
L. Yilmaz, W. K. V. Chan, I. Moon, T. M. K. Roeder, C. Macal, and M. D. Rossetti, eds.
SIMULATING REGIONAL HYDROLOGY AND WATER MANAGEMENT:
AN INTEGRATED AGENT-BASED APPROACH
John T. Murphy
Jonathan Ozik
Nicholson Collier
Argonne National Laboratory and
University of Chicago, Computation Institute
5735 S Ellis Ave
Chicago, IL 60637, USA
Mark Altaweel
University College London
31-34 Gordon Square
London, WC1H 0PY, UK
Richard B. Lammers
Alexander A. Prusevich
University of New Hampshire
Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space,
8 College Road,
Durham, NH 03824, USA
Andrew Kliskey
Lilian Alessa
University of Idaho
709 S. Deakin Street,
Moscow, ID 83844, USA
ABSTRACT
Water management is crucial to all societies. In addition to the technical challenges of moving large
volumes of water from often distant sources to the populations that use them, water management entails a
social challenge as well. In this paper we present a linked simulation framework in which a large-scale
hydrological Water Balance Model (WBM) is linked to an Agent-Based Model (ABM) in which agents
represent urban water managers. We present a test case in which agents plan individual water schedules to
meet their consumers’ needs, and optionally can interact when scheduled amounts fall short of actual
demand. The simulation framework allows us to examine the impact of these relationships on the larger
hydrology of the region, under different policy structures and water stress. We present a case study based
on water management in Phoenix, Arizona, along the Central Arizona Project (CAP) canal.
1 INTRODUCTION
Water is crucial to life and central to human activities. As individuals we must consume water to survive,
and collectively we use water for agriculture, energy, industry, transportation, and many other purposes.
Human societies have managed water since their beginnings, and while modern societies have advanced
technology with which to move and use water, the centrality of water, and – increasingly, in many areas –
its scarcity, make water management more than a technical challenge: it is equally a social challenge.
The southwestern United States is an area in which water management has been achieved
technologically through extensive infrastructure investment; this has reached extraordinary scales, as
water is diverted and moved across large states and throughout the region. Equally impressive is the
social infrastructure: the complex collection of laws, rights, and economic components that regulate who
gets water, when, and for what purposes. This social picture is difficult to understand, but crucial to
manage: cooperation and conflict among different parties who must share water as a resource can shape
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