International Research Journal of Public and Environmental Health Vol.1 (3),pp. 54-62, May 2014
Available online at http://www.journalissues.org/irjpeh/
© 2014 Journal Issues ISSN 2360-8803
Original Research Paper
Influence of considering tributaries to reconstruct flood
hydrograph of an extreme event on the upstream portion
of Medjerda River
Accepted 30 March. 2014
Sahar Abidi
*1
, Hajji Olfa
1
,
Hermassi Taoufik
2
and
Habaieb Hamadi
1
1
Rural Engineering Water and
Forest Department, National
Agronomy Institute-Tunis
(INAT),
Tunisia.
2
National Institute for Research
in Rural Engineering, Water and
Forest (INRGREF),
Tunisia.
*Corresponding Author
Email: sahar.abidi@yahoo.fr
Tel.: +21621439755
In Tunisia, flood problems arise from the only perennial river, Medjerda, in
particular the Plain of Bou Salem where two tributaries (Mellegue and
Tessa) and the main station of Jendouba discharge into. The inundation of
January 2003 was a catastrophic event in the Bou Salem watershed. Hence
this event was chosen for research to test the reconstitution of hydrographs
by different methods and to analyze the effect of its tributaries. Two models
are used; Muskingum and Regression to simulate the hydrograph at
different calculation times (2, 4, 6 and 8 h). To evaluate the quality of
reconstitution models, three performance criteria were selected: standard
deviation error ‘S’, peak relative error ‘S1’ and peak time difference ‘S2’. The
reconstitution of Bou Salem’ floods (downstream station) from Jendouba
(upstream station) was set in four scenarios: (1) ignoring the tributaries, (2)
considering the tributary Mellegue, (3) taking into account the tributary
Tessa and (4) considering both tributaries of Tessa and Mellegue. Following
this application, the fourth scenario reproduced well the flood peak and
illustrated how important the consideration of tributaries was. Regression
model gave the best values of performance criteria and simulated the
discharges hydrographs well.
Key words: Flood, Mejerda River, reconstitution, tributaries, regression,
Muskingum
INTRODUCTION
Flood risk may be defined as the probability that floods of
given intensity and loss occurs in a certain area within a
specified time period (Apel et al., 2006; Merz et al., 2007).
Many natural disasters have led mankind to reflect on the
power and frequency of floods. In the past, interest was
mainly on the knowledge of maximum values of the water
depth and flow. However, currently, interest is switching
more and more to knowing the characteristics of
hydrographs and their variations during flood propagation,
particularly under the influence of tributaries. Models of
flood propagation varr; there are a big number of
algorithms from simple statistical receipt to the partial
differential equations of Saint-Venant (Bentura, 1996).
Numerical solutions of the Saint Venant equations are used
to predict flood arrival time and its magnitude at various
locations along a river, once the flood hydrograph at an
upstream location is known (Mujumdar, 2001). To
reconstitute a flood’s hydrographs, the simplest models
used until now are the Muskingum and Regression models
(Sahar, 2011).
The Medjerda, the major and only perennial river in
Tunisia, has experienced several catastrophic floods. The
Plain of Jendouba-Bou Salem is at risk of flooding. It has
been invaded by water at least three times; in 1973, 2000
and 2003. These floods have reminded all of the acute
dangers of floods to the society and the environment.
On 10th and 11th January 2003, total rainfall recorded at
Jendouba, Mellegue, Tessa, and Bou Salem was 84, 103.5,
51.5 and 67 mm, respectively. Consequently the Medjrda
River flooded the Plain of Jendouba – Bou Salem. The
attributed runoff exceeded the maximum fill of the Mellegue
Dam at 2800 m
3
/s on 11 January 2003. The river’s