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ISSN 0040-5795, Theoretical Foundations of Chemical Engineering, 2017, Vol. 51, No. 6, pp. 893–909. © Pleiades Publishing, Ltd., 2017.
Mathematical Programming Techniques for Optimization
under Uncertainty and Their Application
in Process Systems Engineering
1
I. E. Grossmann*, R. M. Apap, B. A. Calfa, P. Garcia-Herreros, and Q. Zhang
Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA
*e-mail: grossmann@cmu.edu
Received May 10, 2017
Abstract⎯In this paper we give an overview of some of the advances that have taken place to address chal-
lenges in the area of optimization under uncertainty. We first describe the incorporation of recourse in robust
optimization to reduce the conservative results obtained with this approach, and illustrate it with interruptible
load in demand side management. Second, we describe computational strategies for effectively solving two
stage programming problems, which is illustrated with supply chains under the risk of disruption. Third, we
consider the use of historical data in stochastic programming to generate the probabilities and outcomes, and
illustrate it with an application to process networks. Finally, we briefly describe multistage stochastic pro-
gramming with both exogenous and endogenous uncertainties, which is applied to the design of oilfield infra-
structures.
Keywords: robust optimization, stochastic programming, exogenous uncertainty, endogenous uncertainty,
scenario generation
DOI: 10.1134/S0040579517060057
INTRODUCTION
Optimization under uncertainty has been an active
area of research in process systems engineering [1–3].
A major decision in this area is whether one should
rely on a robust optimization approach in which the
emphasis is to guarantee feasibility over a specified
uncertainty set, or whether one should use a stochastic
programming approach in which first -stage decisions
are made while anticipating that recourse actions can
be implemented once the uncertainties are revealed.
The robust optimization approach (or its generaliza-
tion, chance constrained optimization) is usually
more appropriate for short-term horizon problems in
which feasibility is a major concern. On the other
hand, stochastic programming is usually more appro-
priate for problems with long-term time horizons in
which it is expected that recourse actions will be taken.
Stochastic programming models, however, tend to be
much more expensive to solve compared to robust
optimization models. Furthermore, there is the ques-
tion of how to specify the uncertainties (e.g., an intui-
tive guess or the use of historical data). Finally, it is
essential to use as a basis an efficient deterministic
model.
In this paper, we address the following major ques-
tions in optimization under uncertainty: (a) how to
incorporate recourse in robust optimization, (b) how
to reduce computational time when solving two-stage
stochastic optimization problems, (c) how to make use
of historical data in the generation of scenarios for sto-
chastic programming, (d) how to handle exogenous
(decision independent) and endogenous (decision
dependent) uncertainties in multi-stage stochastic
programming. As opposed to our recent paper in this
area [3], we emphasize the modeling and application
of specialized solution methods in industrial problems
related to demand side management, supply chains,
process networks and oilfields.
MODELING RECOURSE IN ROBUST
OPTIMIZATION
Robust optimization [4] is one of the main
approaches for incorporating uncertainty in optimiza-
tion modeling. The uncertainty is specified in terms of
an uncertainty set in which any point is a possible real-
ization of the uncertainty. The major goal is to find a
solution that is feasible for all possible realizations of
the uncertainty while optimizing the objective func-
tion. Since the worst case of the uncertainty set is one
of the possible realizations, a robust optimization
model returns a solution that is optimal for this partic-
1
The article is published in the original.