Effect of Soil Aging on Assessing
Magnitudes and Accelerations of
Prehistoric Earthquakes
Evangelia Leon,
a…
Sarah L. Gassman,
b…
and Pradeep Talwani
c…
Increase in strength due to aging of sands is reflected in higher blow counts
and tip resistance values in penetration resistance measurements. This affects
the magnitudes and peak ground acceleration estimates of prehistoric
earthquakes obtained from an analysis of geotechnical observations at
paleoliquefaction sites in the South Carolina Coastal Plain. In this study,
corrections were made to account for the effects of soil aging, which were
neglected in earlier estimates. The results show that when the effects of aging
of soils on their geotechnical properties are incorporated, the resulting back-
calculations reduced earlier magnitude estimates of prehistoric earthquakes by
about 0.9 units. The peak ground acceleration estimates were reduced by about
15% for those earthquakes originally estimated at approximately 0.15 g. For
those earthquakes whose original estimates were greater than 0.2 g, there was
no noticeable change when a correction was made for the aging of soils.
DOI: 10.1193/1.1949223
INTRODUCTION
Paleoseismicity, the history of prehistoric earthquakes, is being used increasingly in
seismic hazard analyses SHA. In the western United States, where faults are exposed,
the effects of prehistoric earthquakes can be directly studied in suitably placed trenches.
In the eastern United States, large earthquakes are less frequent and in the absence of
surficial evidence, the indirect effects of prehistoric earthquakes, such as sand blows em-
bedded in soft sediments, are studied. By dating trapped organic material and, in some
cases, associated archeological artifacts in and around sand blows, it has now become
possible to reconstruct the chronology of past earthquakes associated with liquefaction
e.g., Talwani and Schaeffer 2001, Tuttle et al. 2002. This chronology of past earth-
quakes is used to infer the recurrence rate of large earthquakes, one of the parameters
needed in SHA. Until recently, another parameter needed in SHA, the magnitudes of
prehistoric earthquakes, was estimated indirectly. The magnitude of the prehistoric or
paleoearthquake was based on the distribution of associated sand blows.
In the Charleston, South Carolina, region, the results of extensive paleoseismological
investigations have revealed evidence of seven prehistoric earthquakes in the past 6,000
years Table 1. Based on the more recent events, these data suggested that, on average,
a
Florence & Hutcheson, Inc., 2700 Middleburg Drive, Suite 150, Columbia, SC 29204; lleon@flohut.com
b
University of South Carolina, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Columbia, SC 29208;
gassman@engr.sc.edu
c
University of South Carolina, Department of Geological Sciences, Columbia, SC 29208; talwani@geol.sc.edu
737
Earthquake Spectra, Volume 21, No. 3, pages 737–759, August 2005; © 2005, Earthquake Engineering Research Institute