IFAC-PapersOnLine 49-12 (2016) 1838–1843
ScienceDirect
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2405-8963 © 2016, IFAC (International Federation of Automatic Control) Hosting by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Peer review under responsibility of International Federation of Automatic Control.
10.1016/j.ifacol.2016.07.850
© 2016, IFAC (International Federation of Automatic Control) Hosting by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords: monitoring, diagnosis and maintenance of manufacturing systems; fuzzy cognitive map;
problem diagnosing; control.
1. INTRODUCTION
Strategic monitoring plays one of the key roles in a cycle of
supporting the formation, implementation and correction of the
socio-economic system (SES) (industrial enterprises,
corporations, cities, etc.) development.
Its main purpose is to monitor the achievement of strategic
goals of SES development in a changing external environment.
Strategic monitoring is aimed at the timely detection of (1)
favorable and unfavorable changes in the external
environment, and (2) changes in the SES properties (its
strengths and weaknesses), which may affect the
implementation of the adopted development strategy.
Modern situations became significantly much more
complicated, they are characterized by fast variability,
interaction of a set of diverse and interdisciplinary factors
(political, social and economic, scientific and technical,
technological, etc.). The essential part of factors is weakly
formalizable since their measurement is itself a complex
problem, and their interaction in a situation often has an
unobvious character (such situations are classified as
semistructured).
Considering complexity, weak formalizability of modern
situations, on the one hand, strategic management experts note
the necessity of expansion of the corresponding scientific and
methodical support. On the other hand, methods of analysis
and forecasting of system development on the basis of
cognitive-map-based models, have proven to be pretty
effective. Cognitive map of a situation is a model representing
the expert knowledge of a situation in the form of structure of
causal influences. Popularity and range of implementation of
cognitive maps is constantly increasing (see the recent review
by Papageorgiou E. (2013)), including the production sector
(Fathian M. (2009), Groumpos P. (2014) etc.).
On the basis of analysis of foreign and Russian publications in
the field of strategic management, our experience of solution of
practical problems of SES control, we propose the scheme of
organization of a situation strategic monitoring. Support of its
separate stages is based on the developed cognitive-map-based
approaches and methods, including
– the approach to diagnosing the system development
problems Avdeeva and Kovriga (2013));
– the approach to SWOT-analysis on the cognitive model of
the situation (Kovriga (2005); Avdeeva et al. (2007)).
SWOT-analysis is one of the popular techiques for situation
analysis in strategic planning and management of SES
development with the growing number of variations (in the
sense of methodological support) (Ghazinoory et al. (2011)).
The paper proposes the statements of a SES development
control problems under the influence of external environment
(with inclusion of these problems in the proposed scheme of
strategic monitoring) and the general scheme for their solution.
2. SITUATION STRATEGIC MONITORING
Strategic monitoring (Fig. 1) is based on the cognitive model
(section 3), in which the situation is represented in the form of
structure of causal influences between the factors of internal
int
X (with selected goal factors of SES development and the
favourable direction of their change), and external
ext
X
environment.
Abstract: The paper proposes the statements of a system development control problems under the
influence of external environment using the SWOT-analysis on the cognitive model of the situation and
the general scheme for their solution. The scheme of strategic monitoring of the system development
with inclusion of these problems is presented. The example of development problem solution for the
enterprise with environmentally dangerous production is given.
On the Statement of a System Development Control Problem
with Use of SWOT-analysis on the Cognitive Model of a Situation
Z. Avdeeva*
1
, S. Kovriga*, D. Makarenko*
* V.A. Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences, 65 Profsoyuznaya, Moscow 117997, Russia
(e-mail: zinaida.avdeeva@gmail.com, kovriga@ipu.ru, dm.makarenko@mail.ru)
1
National Research University Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya, Moscow 101000, Russia