AGRICULTURAL LIBERALISATION AND THE LCDs 1277
© Blackwell Publishing Ltd 2005
© Blackwell Publishing Ltd 2005, 9600 Garsington Road, Oxford, OX4 2DQ, UK
and 350 Main Street, Malden, MA 02148, USA 1277
Agricultural Liberalisation and
the Least Developed Countries:
Six Fallacies
Arvind Panagariya
Columbia University, New York
1. INTRODUCTION
T
ODAY, agriculture remains the most distorted sector of the world economy.
The Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture took a major step forward
by bringing the sector within the purview of the multilateral trading rules but its
success in opening up the sector to global competition was at best limited. There-
fore, agricultural liberalisation is rightly the top priority in the Doha negotiations.
On that much there is general agreement among informed analysts.
There remains considerable confusion, however, on who protects agriculture
and how much, which countries stand to benefit from the liberalisation most, and
whether there are potential losers and if so what might be done about it. Because
many of the potential exporters of agricultural products happen to be developing
countries and many potential importers developed countries, liberalisation in this
area has an obvious North-South dimension. But beyond this simple generalisa-
tion, the public-policy discourse remains fogged by a number of fallacies.
These fallacies probably originated at the beginning of this millennium with
the World Bank leadership (as distinct from its technical and research staff) –
most notably the outgoing President James Wolfensohn and his former Chief
Economist Nicholas Stern – filling the media waves with the allegations that
agricultural protectionism was almost exclusively a developed-country problem,
that this protection represented hypocrisy and double-standard on the part of the
developed countries, that it hurt the poorest countries most, and that it constituted
the principal barrier to the latter’s development. But today, the fallacies have
been embraced more widely, including by the leadership of other international
The author is grateful to Jagdish Bhagwati for comments on an earlier draft of this paper.