ARTICLE Appraisal of the USGS Three-Part Mineral Resource Assessment through estimation of the orogenic gold endowment of the Sandstone Greenstone Belt, Yilgarn Craton, Western Australia Rhys S. Davies 1,2,3 & David I. Groves 1,4 & Allan Trench 1,5 & Michael Dentith 1 & John P. Sykes 1,5,6,7 Received: 7 May 2019 /Accepted: 28 July 2019 # Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2019 Abstract Regional-scale ground selection presents a significant risk in mineral exploration targeting. As any exploration search space contains a finite and fixed number of ore bodies, selection of barren or depleted search spaces incurs wasted exploration expenditure. By defining regions of estimated high mineral endowment, via generation of quantitative information as to the value of potential discoveries, mineral exploration effectiveness, project acquisition, and exploration portfolio management can be improved. The Three-Part Mineral Resource Assessment, developed by the United States Geological Survey (USGS), is a methodology designed to assist in this process. Here, two separate assessments are applied to estimate the orogenic gold endowment of the Sandstone Greenstone Belt in the Yilgarn Craton, Western Australia. First, the results of a global regression assessment (median endowment of 33 t/1.16 Moz Au, mean of 130 t/4.59 Moz Au), based on an available, but outdated, global grade-tonnage model for low-sulfide gold-quartz vein deposits, suggest that most outcropping and shallow orebodies in the Sandstone Greenstone Belt have been discovered and fully delineated. In contrast, an expert assessment (median endowment of 210 t/7.41 Moz Au, mean of 220 t/ 7.76 Moz Au), using expert-derived grade and tonnage distributions specific to the Sandstone Greenstone Belt, predicts that significant gold mineralization remains to be discovered, largely beneath cover. The contrasting assessments imply a step change in exploration focus, from surficial deposits at the time of the USGS global grade-tonnage model to those buried under cover at the present time. The expert assessment, in contrast to the global regression assessment, implies the potential for deeper exploration targets within the Sandstone Greenstone Belt. Based on the predicted total number of deposits, much of the undiscovered mineral endowment is likely to be distal to known ore bodies, beneath cover, and at greater depths within the belt. Keywords Orogenic gold exploration philosophy . Orogenic gold endowment . USGS Three-Part Assessment . Exploration under cover . Sandstone Greenstone Belt . Yilgarn Craton Introduction Despite increased exploration expenditure, Australian green- field gold discoveries have stalled since 2005, with Tropicana (Doyle et al. 2017) and Gruyere (Osborne et al. 2017), the only significant Western Australian examples this century (Schodde 2017). The decreasing discovery rate is due to a number of related factors, including perceived widespread Editorial handling: B. Lehmann * Rhys S. Davies rhyssamuel.davies@research.uwa.edu.au 1 Centre for Exploration Targeting, School of Earth Sciences, The University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia 2 Alto Metals Ltd., 9/12-14 Thelma St., West Perth 6005, Australia 3 Dynamics Coaching Ltd., Gales Uchaf, Llangynhafal, Denbighshire LL16 4LP, UK 4 Orebusters Pty Ltd., Gwelup, WA 6018, Australia 5 Business School, The University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia 6 Minex Consulting (Perth Office), 10/7 Centro Avenue, Subiaco, WA 6008, Australia 7 Greenfields Research Ltd., Hunters Chase, Highfield Farm, Stripe Lane, Hartwith, Harrogate, North Yorkshire HG3 3HA, UK Mineralium Deposita https://doi.org/10.1007/s00126-019-00916-1