PHYSICAL REVIEW E 101, 052309 (2020)
Ring vaccination strategy in networks: A mixed percolation approach
Lautaro Vassallo ,
1, *
Matías A. Di Muro,
1
Debmalya Sarkar ,
2
Lucas D. Valdez ,
3
and Lidia A. Braunstein
1, 3
1
Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata (IFIMAR-CONICET) and Departamento de Física,
Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata, 7600 Mar del Plata, Argentina
2
Department of Information and Communication Technology, Manipal Institute of Technology,
Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal 576104, India
3
Physics Department, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts 02215, USA
(Received 13 January 2020; accepted 20 April 2020; published 12 May 2020)
Ring vaccination is a mitigation strategy that consists in seeking and vaccinating the contacts of a sick patient,
in order to provide immunization and halt the spread of disease. We study an extension of the susceptible-
infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic model with ring vaccination in complex and spatial networks. Previously, a
correspondence between this model and a link percolation process has been established, however, this is only
valid in complex networks. Here, we propose that the SIR model with ring vaccination is equivalent to a mixed
percolation process of links and nodes, which offers a more complete description of the process. We verify that
this approach is valid in both complex and spatial networks, the latter being built according to the Waxman
model. This model establishes a distance-dependent cost of connection between individuals arranged in a square
lattice. We determine the epidemic-free regions in a phase diagram based on the wiring cost and the parameters
of the epidemic model (vaccination and infection probabilities and recovery time). In addition, we find that for
long recovery times this model maps into a pure node percolation process, in contrast to the SIR model without
ring vaccination, which maps into link percolation.
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.101.052309
I. INTRODUCTION
The health of the population is one of the major concerns
of governments and international health agencies globally. As
reported by the World Health Organization, 7.5 trillion dollars
was spent on health in 2016, equivalent to approximately 10%
of the global gross domestic product [1]. In addition to the
thousands of new pathogens discovered in the last decades, the
reemergence of infectious diseases such as cholera, plague,
and yellow fever is concerning [2]. Changes in lifestyles,
coupled with environmental and biological changes, cause
epidemics of infectious diseases to be more likely to occur
and to spread farther and faster than ever before [2]. For
this reason, significant efforts must be devoted to the study
and control of infectious diseases, and the design of effective
prevention and mitigation strategies is crucial.
Complex networks [3–6] have proven to be an important
tool in the study of the spread of epidemics since they capture
some features of human societies [7–10]. The nodes of a
complex network represent individuals, while links repre-
sent interactions between them. In an epidemic model, the
nodes adopt different states, such as susceptible or infected,
while the links allow contagion between the nodes. This
approach is useful when physical contact is the main route
of transmission [11,12]. Epidemic models can be tested on
networks with different topologies, which would represent
different social structures, and in these models, the impact
of different mitigation strategies, such as quarantine [13–15],
*
lvassallo@mdp.edu.ar
isolation [13,14,16,17], and vaccination [16,18–22], can be
estimated.
In remote times, diseases spread as a diffusive process [23],
while nowadays, due to modern means of transport, they can
cover long distances in short times and be superdiffusive [24].
A model that allows weighting both behaviors is the Waxman
model [25,26], which takes the distance-dependent cost into
account when establishing connections between nodes (see
Sec. IV). This model captures the fact that human interactions
have a cost, such as time travel, which makes short-range
interactions more frequent than long-range interactions. A
wiring cost is also present in several other complex structures
such as neural [27,28], telecommunication [29], Internet [30],
and electricity networks [31]. Recently, the Waxman model
was used to study the effects of the wiring cost on the univer-
sality of critical phenomena [32]. A network built according to
this model coincides with the Erdös-Rényi (ER) network [33]
if the wiring cost tends to 0, which has a Poisson degree
distribution of contacts.
An epidemic model that is commonly used is the
susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model [34–37], which
reproduces the spread of nonrecurrent diseases such as in-
fluenza and SARS [38]. In this compartmental model, nodes
can be in three possible states: susceptible (S), infected (I), or
recovered (R). When susceptible nodes are in contact with in-
fected ones, they may become ill with probability β . Infected
individuals recover after a period of time t
r
, remaining in this
state as they acquire immunity against the disease. In the final
state, there are only individuals in the S or R compartment.
The fraction of recovered individuals R indicates the extent of
the epidemic. The effective probability of transmission of the
2470-0045/2020/101(5)/052309(10) 052309-1 ©2020 American Physical Society