Hindawi Publishing Corporation
ISRN AIDS
Volume 2013, Article ID 491601, 7 pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/491601
Clinical Study
Determinants of Mortality among HIV Positives after
Initiating Antiretroviral Therapy in Western Ethiopia:
A Hospital-Based Retrospective Cohort Study
Mitiku Teshome Hambisa,
1
Ahmed Ali,
2
and Yadeta Dessie
1
1
Department of Public Health, College of Health and Medical Sciences, Haramaya University, P.O. Box 235, Harar, Ethiopia
2
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, P.O. Box 25819/1000,
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Correspondence should be addressed to Mitiku Teshome Hambisa; mitikkuuf@gmail.com
Received 16 December 2012; Accepted 16 January 2013
Academic Editors: V. C. Bond and V. Venketaraman
Copyright © 2013 Mitiku Teshome Hambisa et al. Tis is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons
Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is
properly cited.
Studies revealed that there are various determinants of mortality among HIV positives afer ART initiation. Tese determinants are
so variable with context and dynamic across time with the advancement of cares and treatments. In this study we tried to identify
determinants of mortality among HIV positives afer initiating ART. A retrospective cohort study was conducted among 416 ART
attendees enrolled between July 2005 to January 2012 in Nekemte Referral Hospital, Western Ethiopia. Actuarial table was used
to estimate survival of patients afer ART initiation and log rank test was used to compare the survival curves. Cox proportional-
hazard regression was applied to determine the independent determinants of time to death. Te estimated mortality was 4%, 5%,
6%, 7%, and 7% at 6, 12, 24, 36 and 48 months respectively with mortality incidence density of 1.89 deaths per 100 person years
(95% CI 1.74, 3.62). Forty years and above AHR = 3.055 (95% CI 1.292, 7.223), low baseline hemoglobin level (AHR = 0.523 (95%
CI .335, 0.816)), and poor ART adherence (AHR 27.848 (95% CI 8.928, 86.8)) were found to be an independent determinants of
mortality. Tese determinants of mortality have to be taken into account to enhance better clinical outcomes of ART attendees.
1. Introduction
HIV/AIDS remains one of the leading causes of death glob-
ally. It is projected to continue as a signifcant cause of pre-
mature mortality [1]. According to the joint 2011 HIV/AIDS
report of WHO, UNAIDS, and UNICEF, an estimated 34
million people were living with HIV/AIDS globally with 2.7
million new HIV infections in 2010. Of these, 68% were
residing in sub-Saharan Africa [2]. Ethiopia is one of the
seriously afected countries in sub-Saharan Africa with a large
number of people (approximately 800,000) that are living
with HIV/AIDS and 44,751 AIDS-related deaths. An esti-
mated number of 249,174 adults (86% of eligible) are on ART
treatment [3–5]. Te average life expectancy at birth is low,
51 years for males and 53 years for females. It is expected to
further decline if the present HIV infection rates continue [3].
Diferent studies from diferent countries reported that
WHO clinical staging, viral load, age, gender, CD4 cell count,
total lymphocyte count (TLC), body mass index (BMI), ART
adherence, and baseline hemoglobin level were determinants
of mortality [6–10]. Even though studies had identifed these
determinants of mortality, they are so variable with context
and dynamic across time with advancement of care and
treatments as many years are being spent on highly active
antiretroviral therapy (HAART) [11]. Tus, it is needed to
generate locally consumable data to provide evidence for
organizations working on HIV/AIDS and ART at national,
regional, and district levels on factors determining the mor-
tality of HIV positives attending ART. Terefore, the objective
of this study was to identify independent determinants of
mortality in PLWHA afer initiation of ART and to estimate
the time of death of PLWHA who are on ART. Important
baseline variables like BMI, CD4 count, and TLC were
included in this study to address the limitations of the
previous cohort studies done in Ethiopia.