mathematics
Article
Extension of SEIR Compartmental Models for Constructive
Lyapunov Control of COVID-19 and Analysis in Terms of
Practical Stability
Haiyue Chen
†
, Benedikt Haus
†
and Paolo Mercorelli *
,†
Citation: Chen, H.; Haus, B.;
Mercorelli, P. Extension of SEIR
Compartmental Models for
Constructive Lyapunov Control of
COVID-19 and Analysis in Terms of
Practical Stability. Mathematics 2021, 9,
2076. https://doi.org/10.3390/
math9172076
Academic Editor: Eugene Eugene
Postnikov
Received: 13 July 2021
Accepted: 24 August 2021
Published: 27 August 2021
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Institute of Product and Process Innovation, Leuphana University Lüneburg, Universitätsallee 1,
D-21335 Lüneburg, Germany; haiyue.chen@stud.leuphana.de (H.C.); haus@leuphana.de (B.H.)
* Correspondence: mercorelli@uni.leuphana.de
† These authors contributed equally to this work.
Abstract: Due to the worldwide outbreak of COVID-19, many strategies and models have been put
forward by researchers who intend to control the current situation with the given means. In particular,
compartmental models are being used to model and analyze the COVID-19 dynamics of different
considered populations as Susceptible, Exposed, Infected and Recovered compartments (SEIR). This
study derives control-oriented compartmental models of the pandemic, together with constructive
control laws based on the Lyapunov theory. The paper presents the derivation of new vaccination
and quarantining strategies, found using compartmental models and design methods from the field
of Lyapunov theory. TheLyapunov theory offers the possibility to track desired trajectories, guaran-
teeing the stability of the controlled system. Computer simulations aid to demonstrate the efficacy of
the results. Stabilizing control laws are obtained and analyzed for multiple variants of the model.
The stability, constructivity, and feasibility are proven for each Lyapunov-like function. Obtaining
the proof of practical stability for the controlled system, several interesting system properties such as
herd immunity are shown. On the basis of a generalized SEIR model and an extended variant with
additional Protected and Quarantined compartments, control strategies are conceived by using two
fundamental system inputs, vaccination and quarantine, whose influence on the system is a crucial
part of the model. Simulation results prove that Lyapunov-based approaches yield effective control
of the disease transmission.
Keywords: COVID-19; compartmental models; Lyapunov approach; practical stability
1. Introduction
The COVID-19 pandemic, among other pandemics from the past, has attracted great
attention not only from mathematicians but researchers from numerous fields. This is
due to the fact that the exponential growth in the number of cases of infection has made
the recent situation very worrying. Hence, various measures are taken for the purpose of
limiting the spread of infection. Concerning COVID-19, since the extent and duration of
it has lasted much longer than expected, solving the overwhelming chaos is recognized
as being the most important issue in recent months. The outbreak of the pandemic has
been affecting almost all countries in the world, changing people’s daily lives and causing
heavy casualties. The situation calls for a dynamic model of the pandemic to analyze the
system behavior. When the outbreak is in an active stage, the model should be not only
descriptive, but also suitable for controller design.
1.1. Historical Development of Compartmental Models for Epidemics
In the history of mathematical models in epidemiology, the focus has always been on
deterministic compartmental models, which can be defined as a sub-categorization of the
whole population into different compartments, introducing transfer rates from one category
Mathematics 2021, 9, 2076. https://doi.org/10.3390/math9172076 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/mathematics