DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS, MANAGEMENT AND STATISTICS UNIVERSITY OF MILAN – BICOCCA DEMS WORKING PAPER SERIES Human Smuggling and Intentions to Migrate: Global Evidence from a Supply Shock along Africa-to-Europe Migration Routes_ Guido Friebel, Miriam Manchin, Mariapia Mendola, Giovanni Prarolo No. 375 – December 2017 Dipartimento di Economia, Metodi Quantitativi e Strategie di Impresa Università degli Studi di Milano - Bicocca http://dems.unimib.it/