Asymmetric adjustment of diesel or petrol
retail prices to crude oil price movements:
New Zealand evidence
Fardous Alom* and Neil Ritson**
*Contract Lecturer and Doctoral Research Fellow, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance,
Faculty of Commerce, PO Box 84, Lincoln University, Lincoln 7647, Canterbury, New Zealand. Email:
fardousalom@gmail.com; md.fardous.alom@lincolnuni.ac.nz
**Senior Lecturer, Department of Business Management, Law and Marketing, Faculty of Commerce, PO
Box 84, Lincoln University, Lincoln 7647, Canterbury, New Zealand. Email: neil.ritson@lincoln.ac.nz
Abstract
This study has twofold objectives. Firstly, to examine the short- and long-run relationships between
diesel or petrol retail prices in New Zealand and crude oil prices and, secondly, to assess the response
of retail sector price movements to changes in crude oil prices. The study uses both standard and
hidden asymmetric cointegration methods. The major findings are as follows: the prices of diesel
and petrol maintain both short- and long-run relationships with crude oil prices although the pass-
through rates differ. Diesel prices are found to be symmetric in response to the changes in crude oil
prices, while petrol prices respond asymmetrically to changes in crude oil prices. When crude oil
prices increase, petrol prices in New Zealand increase immediately and not vice versa. The reasons
for the asymmetric pricing behaviour might include higher demand for petrol than diesel, individual
and tourist-type customers rather than commercial and industrial customers, search costs, revenue-
maximising behaviour of retailers based on high demand, and government taxes and levies.
1. Introduction
Beginning with the pioneering work of Bacon (1991), energy researchers have made sig-
nificant efforts in investigating the retail pricing behaviour of petroleum products in
response to the movement of crude oil price levels. It is still unsettled whether diesel and
petrol prices respond symmetrically or asymmetrically to crude oil prices. Many studies
focus on this issue because asymmetric behaviour is important for several reasons includ-
ing consumers’ welfare, competition among retailers and the scope for abnormal profits.
The reasons for asymmetry have also been identified in several studies and include retail-
ers’ market power, asymmetric role of inventories, consumer search costs, refinery utilisa-
tion rates and so on (Brown andYucel, 2000; Kaufmann and Laskowski, 2005; Honarvar,
2009b). These causes and consequences of asymmetry are not, in general, applicable to
every context and, hence, more studies are warranted.
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© 2012 The Authors. OPEC Energy Review © 2012 Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. Published by
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