Changing Logistics of Evacuation Transportation in
Hazardous Settings during COVID-19
Saige Hill
1
; Nicole S. Hutton
2
; Jennifer L. Whytlaw
3
; Juita-Elena Yusuf
4
; Joshua G. Behr
5
;
Eduardo Landaeta
6
; and Rafael Diaz
7
Abstract: The logistics of public-sponsored evacuation include transportation assets, personnel, and infrastructure. Effective orchestration
leading up to a severe weather event is a complex undertaking requiring capacity that is matched to needs. However, under the compound
hurricane-pandemic scenario, the demands for evacuation assistance and the capacity to meet demands change. Pre-event planning must be
adjusted and transit modified to reduce risks posed to evacuees and essential workers. This study explores how visualizations of redistributed
vulnerability and transportation resources influence planning. The research identifies how transportation, emergency management, and public
health officials are adapting hurricane evacuation resources during the COVID-19 pandemic using original data from compound hazard
workshops and participatory stakeholder focus groups. Findings show that by the peak of hurricane season, local evacuation recommen-
dations were favored by officials, contracts were in place for noncongregate options, and public resources were adjusted to account for those
requiring congregate sheltering. A need remained for coordinating interjurisdictional information about real-time weather, resources, staffing,
and traffic as well as local knowledge of roadway flooding with ongoing hazard planning. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000506.
© 2021 American Society of Civil Engineers.
Introduction
Limited transportation options contribute to poor societal outcomes
even absent any hazard (Syed et al. 2013). Transportation is critical
for accessing medical care and other life-sustaining resources, and
vulnerable populations may depend on public transit resources to
evacuate. Transportation issues are addressed using an all-hazards
approach that coordinates with federal, state, and local authorities
to ensure provision of services for evacuation (FEMA 2018). Re-
sources need to be deployed to areas vulnerable to an emergency in
advance of a hazard impact. Moreover, residents of the at-risk area
must prepare for the logistics of evacuation in advance, especially if
they have family members with disabilities or other specific needs.
For example, vulnerable populations relying on public transporta-
tion need to know ahead of time the location of the nearest pick-up
point (Bian and Wilmot 2018). Additional planning items include
identifying the best time to leave, determining if multiple vehicles
are needed, compiling trusted or reliable sources of information re-
garding evacuation, and estimating how much evacuation will cost
(Lindell et al. 2019; Watts et al. 2019).
The transportation sector has a significant community outreach
role during emergencies. After Hurricane Katrina, evacuation ap-
proaches where individuals or households were reliant on their own
vehicles were overhauled and use of public transportation empha-
sized to accommodate populations without cars (Deka and Carnegie
2010). Contributors to household evacuation and resource-sharing
decision making include source of information, risk perception,
social connections, location, employment requirements, past expe-
rience, nature of evacuation order, pets, and other indicators of vul-
nerability (Hasan et al. 2011; Bowser and Cutter 2015; Huang et al.
2016; Sadri et al. 2017; Collins et al. 2018; Ahmed et al. 2020;
Lindell et al. 2020). However, unprecedented factors, such as fears
during a concurrent pandemic, make actual evacuation logistics dif-
ficult to model. Various hazard assessment and emergency response
manuals (e.g., FEMA 2018) include information regarding safety
but need to be adapted to consider issues related to long-term and
compound hazards, especially where underlying medical conditions
increase risk (Clark et al. 2020).
A pandemic, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, alters supply
chains, changes the density of vehicles on roadways, and limits
the number of seats available on public transit (Pei et al. 2020;
Cowling and Aiello 2020; Fong et al. 2020; Parr et al. 2020). It also
increases the burden on public-facing transportation workers to pro-
vide safe options (Capano et al. 2020; Chu et al. 2020; Cai et al.
2020). The performance of the transportation sector during an emer-
gency has significant public health and economic implications,
especially during a compound hazard such as a hurricane-pandemic.
Local operations during a pandemic and hydrometeorological
hazard may strain resources including budgets for transportation
and emergency management departments alike (Andrews 2020).
1
Ph.D. Student, Public Administration and Policy, School of Public
Service, Old Dominion Univ., Norfolk, VA 23529. (corresponding author).
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8263-141X. Email: shill054@odu
.edu
2
Assistant Professor, Geography, Dept. of Political Science and Geogra-
phy, Old Dominion Univ., Norfolk, VA 23529. ORCID: https://orcid.org
/0000-0003-3623-8849. Email: nhuttons@odu.edu
3
Assistant Professor, Geography, Dept. of Political Science and Geogra-
phy, Old Dominion Univ., Norfolk, VA 23529. Email: jwhytlaw@odu.edu
4
Professor, School of Public Service, Old Dominion Univ., Norfolk, VA
23529. Email: jyusuf@odu.edu
5
Research Professor, Virginia Modeling, Analysis and Simulation
Center, Old Dominion Univ., Norfolk, VA 23529. ORCID: https://orcid
.org/0000-0002-0472-3068. Email: jbehr@odu.edu
6
Ph.D. Student, Dept. of Political Science and Geography, International
Studies, Old Dominion Univ., Norfolk, VA 23529. Email: eland004@
odu.edu
7
Research Associate Professor, Virginia Modeling, Analysis and
Simulation Center, Old Dominion Univ., Norfolk, VA 23529. Email:
rdiaz@odu.edu
Note. This manuscript was submitted on November 9, 2020; approved
on May 7, 2021; published online on May 26, 2021. Discussion period
open until October 26, 2021; separate discussions must be submitted for
individual papers. This paper is part of the Natural Hazards Review,
© ASCE, ISSN 1527-6988.
© ASCE 04021029-1 Nat. Hazards Rev.
Nat. Hazards Rev., 2021, 22(3): 04021029
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