Environment and Ecology Research 10(2): 307-313, 2022 http://www.hrpub.org
DOI: 10.13189/eer.2022.100221
Factors Affecting CO
2
Emissions in Vietnam
Nguyen Thi Phan Thu
1
, Pham Hong Hanh
1
, Nguyen Van Dinh
2
, Hoang Dinh Luong
3
,
Do Thi Minh Hue
1,*
1
Faculty of Development Economics, VNU University of Economics and Business, Vietnam National University,
Hanoi, 100000, Vietnam
2
VNU International School, Vietnam National University, Hanoi, 100000, Vietnam
3
Ministry of Education and Training, Hanoi, 100000, Vietnam
Received January 9, 2022; Revised March 25, 2022; Accepted April 15, 2022
Cite This Paper in the following Citation Styles
(a): [1] Nguyen Thi Phan Thu, Pham Hong Hanh, Nguyen Van Dinh, Hoang Dinh Luong, Do Thi Minh Hue , "Factors
Affecting CO
2
Emissions in Vietnam," Environment and Ecology Research, Vol. 10, No. 2, pp. 307 - 313, 2022. DOI:
10.13189/eer.2022.100221.
(b): Nguyen Thi Phan Thu, Pham Hong Hanh, Nguyen Van Dinh, Hoang Dinh Luong, Do Thi Minh Hue (2022). Factors
Affecting CO
2
Emissions in Vietnam. Environment and Ecology Research, 10(2), 307 - 313. DOI:
10.13189/eer.2022.100221.
Copyright©2022 by authors, all rights reserved. Authors agree that this article remains permanently open access under the
terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 International License
Abstract In recent years, the signs and consequences
of climate change have become increasingly evident in
every continent and country, and are expected to increase
in the coming years, posing risks to human health, food
security, and global economic development. Therefore,
controlling and reducing greenhouse gas emissions, the
basic cause of climate change, has become a hot issue for
all countries, including Vietnam. CO
2
emission is
considered one of the main components of greenhouse
gases. This paper was conducted to identify factors driving
the change in CO
2
emissions in Vietnam based on the
extended IPAT model, decomposition method, and OLS
regression analysis. The cross-sectional data in the model
(including population, GDP per capita, energy intensity,
emission intensity) were collected mainly from the World
Bank and ourworldindata.org during the period 1986 -
2016. The analysis results show that GDP per capita is the
variable that has the most significant influence on the
increase in CO
2
, followed by energy intensity and
population, while emission intensity is the only factor that
contributes to the reduction of CO
2
emissions. Based on
these results, the study has proposed a number of policy
recommendations to control and cut CO
2
emissions in
Vietnam, better orienting future decisions to deal with the
threat of climate change.
Keywords Air Pollution, IPAT Model, Vietnam, CO
2
Emissions
1. Introduction
Air pollution has always been one of the most pressing
problems in the world. Today, 91% of the global
population currently lives in places where air quality does
not meet the recommendations of the World Health
Organization. Although the development of science and
technology along with the rapid urbanization process has
met the needs of people in all aspects, at the same time, the
environment is under heavy pressure, especially the
environment. Fresh air is gradually becoming scarce due to
increasingly severe pollution. Financially, premature
deaths from air pollution cost about US$5 trillion in
welfare losses worldwide [1].
There are many researchers studying factors affecting air
pollution. Harte [2] argued that population growth
influences carbon emissions as "multiplier". A 1% increase
in population leads to a 2,665% increase in energy
consumption [3]. Shahba et al. [4] suggested that a 1%
increase in energy consumption will increase carbon
emissions from 0.2333% to 0.3501%. Ehrlich and Holdren
[5] were the first to argue that population, income, and
technology determine emissions. They also considered
environmental impact (I) as a product of population (P),
affluence (A), and technology (T) in the IPAT model. Pani
and Mukhopadhyay [6] used IPAT model with data from
1980-2007 to determine the influence of five factors,
namely emission intensity, fuel substitution, energy
intensity, income, and population on CO
2
emissions in 10