Research Article
West Africa Extreme Rainfall Events and Large-Scale Ocean
Surface and Atmospheric Conditions in the Tropical Atlantic
S. Ta,
1
K. Y. Kouadio,
1
K. E. Ali,
1,2
E. Toualy,
1
A. Aman,
1
and F. Yoroba
1
1
Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics and Fluid Mechanics, University FHB of Cocody-Abidjan, 22 BP 582, Abidjan 22, Cˆ ote d’Ivoire
2
Institut National Polytechnique F´ elix Houphou¨ et Boigny de Yamoussoukro, BP 1093, Yamoussoukro, Cˆ ote d’Ivoire
Correspondence should be addressed to S. Ta; biladjisamuelta@outlook.com
Received 6 April 2016; Revised 11 June 2016; Accepted 26 June 2016
Academic Editor: Anthony R. Lupo
Copyright © 2016 S. Ta et al. Tis is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which
permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Based on daily precipitation from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) data during April–October of the 1997–
2014 period, the daily extreme rainfall trends and variability over West Africa are characterized using 90th-percentile threshold
at each grid point. Te contribution of the extreme rainfall amount reaches ∼50–90% in the northern region while it is ∼30–
50% in the south. Te yearly cumulated extreme rainfall amount indicates signifcant and negative trends in the 6
∘
N–12
∘
N; 6
∘
N–
12
∘
N; 17
∘
W–10
∘
W and 4
∘
N–7
∘
N; 4
∘
N–7
∘
N; 6
∘
E–10
∘
E4
∘
N–7
∘
N; 6
∘
E–10
∘
E4
∘
N–7
∘
N; 6
∘
E–10
∘
E domains, while the number of days
exhibits nonsignifcant trends over West Africa. Te empirical orthogonal functions performed on the standardized anomalies
show four variability modes that include all West Africa with a focus on the Sahelian region, the eastern region including the south
of Nigeria, the western part including Guinea, Sierra Leone, Liberia, and Guinea-Bissau, and fnally a small region at the coast
of Ghana and Togo. Tese four modes are infuenced diferently by the large-scale ocean surface and atmospheric conditions in
the tropical Atlantic. Te results are applicable in planning the risks associated with these climate hazards, particularly on water
resource management and civil defense.
1. Introduction
Rainfall is one of the most usable weather parameters that
allows determining climate variability, particularly in West
Africa [1, 2]. Its quantifcation is a great concern in the
tropics as it plays a signifcant role in hydrological and climate
studies. Furthermore, the social and economic development
of West Africa countries is strongly linked to agricultural and
water resources [3]. In the last several decades, alteration of
periods with extreme rainfall events with dry conditions has
led to a succession of food/drought years [4]. Tese extreme
events constitute the primary impact of the climate change
on society [5] since their frequencies have more impact
compared to changes in mean climate [6].
Te spatiotemporal distribution of the extreme rainfall
events is not homogenous in West Africa. Tey can cause
fooding or drought that have negative impacts by increasing
environmental disasters. For example, rainfall irregularity
leads to disastrous consequences if a drought situation
persists. Tat was the case in the early 1970s during which
the Sahel region experienced severe drought and devastating
famine [7]. On the other hand, food periods can have
dramatic consequences in poor countries of West Africa.
Such situation was observed in 1994 when the runof of the
Bagr´ e Dam in Burkina Faso reached 2050 m
3
s
−1
instead of
the initial project runof of 1520 m
3
s
−1
[8]. Another fooding
episode (>300 mm of rainfall amount) occurred during
August 31 to September 01, 2009, in Ouagadougou (Burkina
Faso) where it caused serious damage due to the overfowing
of drainage channels and the dam. Consequently trafc was
disrupted, houses were destroyed, and patients from Yalgado
Ou´ edraogo Hospital were evacuated (http://reliefweb.int/
disaster/f-2009-000172-bfa). Te southern region of West
Africa also has experienced social and economic impacts
due to fooding, as, for instance, the episodes that caused
many deaths in Abidjan (Cˆ ote d’Ivoire, 39 deaths in 2014
and 16 deaths on June 22, 2015; see http://www.rf.fr/afrique/
20150621-cote-ivoire-bilan-victimes-intemperies-pluies-abidjan).
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Advances in Meteorology
Volume 2016, Article ID 1940456, 14 pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/1940456