Research Article
Bifurcation Analysis of a 5D Nutrient, Plankton, Limnothrissa
miodon Model with Hydrocynus vittatus Predation
Farikayi K. Mutasa ,
1
Brian Jones,
2
Itai H. Tendaupenyu,
3
Tamuka Nhiwatiwa,
4
and Mzime R. Ndebele-Murisa
5
1
Department of Applied Mathematics, National University of Science and Technology, P.O. Box AC939, Ascot, Bulawayo, Zimbabwe
2
Department of Statistics and Operations Research, National University of Science and Technology, P.O. Box AC939, Ascot,
Bulawayo, Zimbabwe
3
The Zimbabwe Parks and Wildlife Management Authority, Cnr Sandringham & Borrowdale Rd, Botanical Gardens,
PO BOX CY140, Causeway Harare, Zimbabwe
4
Department of Biological Sciences, University of Zimbabwe, P.O. MP167 Mt. Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe
5
School of Wildlife and Ecology, Chinhoyi University of Technology, Chinhoyi, Zimbabwe
Correspondence should be addressed to Farikayi K. Mutasa; farikayi.mutasa@nust.ac.zw
Received 4 April 2022; Revised 29 June 2022; Accepted 1 July 2022; Published 20 July 2022
Academic Editor: Wei-Chiang Hong
Copyright © 2022 Farikayi K. Mutasa et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution
License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is
properly cited.
In this paper, we construct and analyze a theoretical, deterministic 5D mathematical model of Limnothrissa miodon with
nutrients, phytoplankton, zooplankton, and Hydrocynus vittatus predation. Local stability analysis results agree with the
numerical simulations in that the coexistence equilibrium is locally stable provided that certain conditions are satisfied. The
coexistence equilibrium is globally stable if certain conditions are met. Existence, stability, and direction of Hopf bifurcations
are derived for some parameters. Bifurcation analysis shows that the model undergoes Hopf bifurcation at the coexistence
point for the zooplankton growth rate with periodic doubling leading to chaos.
1. Introduction
Hydrocynus vittatus (Castelnau, 1861), also referred to as
tigerfish, is the major predator of Limnothrissa miodon
(Boulenger, 1906), also referred to as kapenta in Lake Kariba
[1]. It is therefore important to investigate mathematically
the role that tigerfish plays in the dynamics of Limnothrissa
miodon. This paper begins by formulating and analyzing a
deterministic Limnothrissa miodon model. The model has
5 classes, and these are as follows: concentration of nutrients,
population density of phytoplankton, zooplankton popula-
tion density, density of the Limnothrissa miodon population,
and population density of tigerfish. The densities in each
class are functions of time and are denoted by N ðt Þ, Pðt Þ,
Zðt Þ, Lðt Þ, and Rðt Þ, respectively. The model is analyzed to
determine the effect of predation on the population density
of Limnothrissa miodon using qualitative techniques.
Numerical simulations are done to illustrate the dynamics
of the Limnothrissa miodon model.
Mathematical modeling of the Limnothrissa miodon
model with tigerfish predation will give us an insight into
the dynamics of the kapenta fishery in Lake Kariba. A
deterministic model that involves nutrients, phytoplankton,
zooplankton, Limnothrissa miodon, and tigerfish has not
been formulated and analyzed. In this paper, we formulate
and analyze a deterministic, continuous, dynamical system
which consists of ordinary differential equations that
describe the dynamics of Limnothrissa miodon in the pres-
ence of nutrients, phytoplankton, and zooplankton and with
tigerfish predation. The Limnothrissa miodon model will
help in our understanding of the dynamics of the aquatic
ecosystem in the kapenta fishery in Lake Kariba.
The major predator in Lake Kariba is tigerfish [2, 3], and
after the introduction of Limnothrissa miodon into Lake
Hindawi
Journal of Applied Mathematics
Volume 2022, Article ID 1095441, 21 pages
https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/1095441