NNAA, Sunday Barikui et al, International Journal of Computer Science and Mobile Computing, Vol.11 Issue.5, May- 2022, pg. 92-221
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International Journal of Computer Science and Mobile Computing
A Monthly Journal of Computer Science and Information Technology
ISSN 2320–088X
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IJCSMC, Vol. 11, Issue. 5, May 2022, pg.92 – 221
DEVELOPING AN IMPROVED SENTIMENT ANALYSIS
SYSTEMS USING ENSEMBLE OF PREDICTIVE EXPERTS
IN FOREIGN EXCHANGE (FOREX) FORECASTING
NNAA, Sunday Barikui
1
; Prof. ASAGBA, Prince O.
2
Department of Computer Science, Ignatius Ajuru University of Education, Port Harcourt, Rivers State, Nigeria
1
Department of Computer Science, University of Port Harcourt, Rivers State, Nigeria
2
1
nnaasunday76@yahoo.com;
2
asagba.prince@uniport.edu.ng
DOI: https://doi.org/10.47760/ijcsmc.2022.v11i05.009
Abstract: The study considered the specific risk issues associated with the Foreign
Exchange (FOREX) market in Nigeria. Foreign exchange investors are risk takers due to
the decisions they often make on their resources for investment. Accurate forecasting of
data has often been challenging to investors in the foreign exchange market due to lack of
predictive and statistical tools. The mentioned challenge is also as a result of not applying
models that accurately predict foreign exchange signals and trends. In this study we
developed an Improved Sentiment Analysis Systems using Ensemble of Predictive Experts
comprising of neural network, Regression Analysis and Decision Tree was developed. The
study adopted the agile methodology due to its ability to iteratively adapt to changing user
requirements and the volatile nature of the foreign exchange market. The model was
implemented in Python Programming Language and MySQL database as backend. A
comparative analysis of the existing and new systems was carried out and the parameters
used for the analysis encompassed the methodology adopted, the number of predictions,
number of accurate predictions, number of tested records for prediction, and the number
of currencies used for the prediction was considered. The results clearly showed that the
new system outperformed the existing system with 58 accurate predictions while the former
achieved 38 accurate predictions respectively. The new system performed better in term of
accuracy on unseen data to reduce generalization error in forecasting of FOREX signal.
Keywords: Text Classification, Decision Tree, Ensemble Learning, Regression analysis,
neural network