Environ Model Assess
DOI 10.1007/s10666-016-9535-1
Public Debt, Life Expectancy, and the Environment
Nicolas Clootens
1
Received: 6 October 2015 / Accepted: 27 September 2016
© Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016
Abstract The economic literature has shown that some
countries may be trapped in what is called an ”environmen-
tal poverty trap”: poor longevity implies little maintenance
of the environment, which leads to high levels of pollution
that in turn keeps life expectancy low. Since life expectancy
is an important determinant of saving, these economies may
not be able to grow. This article aims to provide policy
recommendations to improve both environmental quality
and growth in the context of debt consolidation. Notably,
it studies how public debt and public maintenance may
be used to escape from the environmental poverty trap.
A welfare analysis is then undertaken to show that pub-
lic debt is an instrument which helps to solve the capital
over-accumulation problem and to achieve environmental
objectives.
Keywords Environmental quality · Life expectancy ·
Overlapping generations · Poverty trap · Public debt
1 Introduction
Environmental care and the reduction of public debt are
both linked to the future decisions of agents. Long-run fiscal
objectives, such as reducing public debt and public budget
deficits, may constitute a constraint on the promotion of
environmental quality. Descriptive statistics show that the
correlation coefficient between the mean of the Net General
Nicolas Clootens
nicolas.clootens@univ-orleans.fr
1
Laboratoire d’Economie d’Orl´ eans (LEO), UMR CNRS 7322,
University of Orl´ eans, Orl´ eans, France
Government Debt ratio and the mean of the Environmental
Performance Index (EPI)
1
was −0.161 for the period 2000–
2010.
2
That seems to confirm that a high public debt may
be a constraint on the environmental preservation.
The trade-off between environmental quality and public
debt reduction depends on how people value the future. A
rational agent with high life expectancy will place a greater
value on the future and will be more willing to forego imme-
diate welfare in favor of future gains. He/she will be more
likely to decrease the public debt level and to preserve the
environment. This argument is present in Ono and Maeda
[22] who introduce the idea of private maintenance based
on life expectancy. Ono and Maeda [23] show that under a
perfect annuitization assumption, a higher life expectancy
may promote both growth and environmental quality in an
overlapping generations (OLG) framework.
Life expectancy is in turn determined by environmen-
tal quality. Indeed, the natural environment constitutes an
important determinant of life expectancy through several
channels, including climate, pollution, natural disasters, etc.
For example, Laden et al. [18] find that a 10μg/m
3
increase
in fine particulate air pollution gives rise to an additional
mortality risk of approximately 15 %. Jouvet, Pestieau and
Ponthiere [17] wrote one of the first papers studying the
impact of environmental quality on life expectancy in an
overlapping generations model.
Mariani et al. [19] present two stylized facts about the
relationship between life expectancy and the environment,
which are positively correlated and both bimodally dis-
tributed. They argue that these stylized facts are compatible
with—and give support to—the assumption of a two-way
1
More details about the EPI may be found in [13].
2
It is significant at the 1 % level. See Appendix A for more details
about the statistics.