International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 09 Issue: 03 | Mar 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1859
Challenges in global flood hazard mapping
Hayder Al Hudaib 1, Richard P. Ray2
1 Ph.D. Student, Széchenyi István University, Department of Transportation Infrastructure, and Water Resources
Engineering Egyetem tér 1, 9026 Győr, Hungary
2 Professor, Széchenyi István University, Department of Structural and Geotechnical Engineering Egyetem tér 1,
9026 Győr, Hungary
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Abstract - Global flood hazard assessment and resilience
implementation have become increasingly important in the
last decade. The heightened impact has been due to
anthropogenic developments changing the natural flow
regime of rivers through dam construction or the increasing
risk of flooding on a global and national scale due to climate
change and land use/cover changes. Such a global impact
requires a global response and those efforts have produced
methods to assess global flood hazards through simulation of
natural and human activities. Implementation of this scale of
assessment however is quite challenging on both the analysis
and the implementation side. Analysis requires global hydro-
meteorological datasets that are applied to regional
watershed models. Additional information on hydraulic
behavior, control structures, flood defense, and risk exposure
are also required. The most recent effort to model at this scale
is the global flood awareness system (GloFAS) combined with
re-analysis of global data sources such as ERA5 river discharge
datasets (1979-2020). While there are many apparent
limitations, the future looks promising for the development of
large regional hydrological models and the development of
global data sources focused on global flood simulation. Getting
beyond the limitations in the availability of real-time observed
datasets will require international initiatives through
collecting and improving the temporal and spatial resolution
of hydro-meteorological datasets, and other challenges that
affect the efficiency in simulating and forecasting flood events.
Finally, we highlight limitations, opportunities, and
suggestions in the short and long term for future
developments.
Key Words: Global flood awareness system (GloFAS),
satellite images, flood mapping, reanalysis dataset, flood risk.
1. INTRODUCTION
Water is vital to life. Increasing or decreasing water
resources represents the main challenge for life and human
security. A major threat to water resources comes from
extreme climate events such as floods, drought, hurricanes,
etc., from natural or human activities. These threats are
further amplified by global climate change due to greenhouse
gases and carbon cycle emissions from fossil fuel combustion,
land use cover changes, and other activities [1]. Floods may
be classified as urban flash floods, coastal, riverine, fluvial,
pluvial, dam failure, and storm surges. Of course, extreme
flood events are becoming more frequent and challenging due
to climate change [2]. In summary, weather and extreme
climate have had significant impacts on social, ecological, and
economic networks across most regions of the world [3].
Flood events in Europe, such as the 2002 Elbe floods, and the
2007 UK floods, are considered national crises and are
estimated to have caused around 15 and 6.5 billion euros of
damage, respectively [3].
Early Warning Systems (EWS) has developed and widely
adopted in recent years to predict the probability of floods
and reduce their hazard impact. Cooperation between
authorities and countries through early warning, information,
and data sharing is particularly important for transboundary
river basins to facilitate water resources management,
especially in flood season, and coordinate actions [4]. The
main challenge in hydrological studies is to estimate past,
present, and future hydrological conditions in rivers around
the world [5].
The limitation of hydro-meteorological observations
represents a major barrier to our ability to provide
monitoring and early warnings of hydrological extreme
hazards, such as floods and droughts. Global flood modeling
for large-scale catchment river basins requires unique
models and assistance tools such as Geographic Information
System (GIS) and Remote Sensing (RS) techniques. The
European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) provides
operational flood prediction data sets for major European
rivers as a part of the Copernicus Emergency Management
Services. Flood hazard maps are produced by using
mathematical models to simulate the physical state of river
basins and predict flood levels.
These are very useful tools to show the probability of
occurrence, magnitude, and flood footprint extent as well as
potential consequences over a certain area. Results can
provide a supporting tool for decision-makers to enhance
land use planning and disaster risk management. Long-term
global river discharge re-analysis datasets were produced as
part of the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS) jointly
developed by the European Commission and the European
Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF).
Numerous international agencies are gathering and
refining the spatial and temporal resolution of satellite data
to produce better flood maps. With the aid of advanced
numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, they generate
re-analysis datasets for the land, ocean, and atmospheric
variables that serve as a key starting point.