NATURE ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION 1, 0105 (2017) | DOI: 10.1038/s41559-017-0105 | www.nature.com/natecolevol 1
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PUBLISHED: 1 MARCH 2017 | VOLUME: 1 | ARTICLE NUMBER: 0105
D
e-extinction refers to creating living
organisms that are genetically very
similar to members of an extinct
species. Technical barriers to de-extinction
are being steadily overcome, and researchers
have begun to ask whether and when
de-extinction ought to be done. Writing in
Nature Ecology & Evolution, Joseph Bennett
and colleagues take up the matter as it
pertains to biodiversity conservation — that
is, when, if ever, de-extinction should be
used as a conservation tool. Teir approach
is to try to determine “the relative cost
versus beneft for biodiversity” of engaging
in de-extinction with reintroduction. Tey
do this by frst predicting what conservation
eforts for reconstituted species would
involve (by extrapolating from conservation
eforts for proxy extant species; see pictured
examples), and then predicting what the
impacts of those eforts would be on extant
threatened species
1
. In almost all the cases
and scenarios considered, they fnd that the
cost to conservation beneft ratio is worse for
de-extinction than it is for extant threatened
species — that is, funding reconstitution,
reintroduction and maintenance of extinct
species would either provide smaller
conservation benefts than funding
conservation of extant threatened species or
limit the number of extant species that could
be conserved. Because the conservation
costs would outweigh the conservation
gains, they conclude that “it is unlikely that
de-extinction could be justifed on grounds
of biodiversity conservation”.
Given the scarcity of conservation
resources, consideration of conservation
costs and benefts is undoubtedly relevant
to project decisions. But what role (or how
large a role) ought cost–beneft analyses
play in those decisions, particularly
when they involve novel conservation
strategies such as de-extinction? Should
they be, as Bennett et al. claim, “a crucial
consideration in deciding whether to invest
in de-extinction or focus our eforts on
extant species”?
One concern about afording cost–
beneft analyses of the sort conducted by
Bennett et al. too large a role in conservation
decision-making is that they may not be
highly reliable. Among the challenges are:
projecting possible outcomes and assigning
probabilities to them (the ‘unknown
outcomes problem’); assigning values to
those outcomes (the ‘value assignment
problem’); and converting diferent types
of environmental values — for example,
ecological, biodiversity, ecosystem
services — into a common comparable
metric (the ‘commensurability problem’).
Many of these challenges are exacerbated
when dealing with extinct species because
of the greater uncertainties and unknowns
involved. Tese arise from, for example,
the novelty of the techniques, the less-
robust information about the species, and
potential confounding factors, such as
whether de-extinction would constitute a
moral hazard and the interaction efects
between de-extinction and other types of
conservation eforts and the funding for
them. For these reasons, when assessing
de-extinction as a conservation strategy in
general, or candidate de-extinction projects
specifcally, a cost–beneft analysis might
be less informative than it is with respect to
more traditional conservation strategies for
well-studied extant species.
Cost–beneft analysis must also not
marginalize other important values and
considerations. In the case of de-extinction,
the most prominent arguments for it do
not appeal to its being a cost-efective
conservation strategy. Tey are instead based
on restitutive justice, recreating lost values,
and revising conservation paradigms
2–8
.
Tese ethical considerations are thought by
those who raise them to establish a positive
responsibility to engage in de-extinction.
Te question then becomes whether there
are any compelling reasons not to do it.
Te issue of whether there is a
presumption for or against de-extinction
is crucial to the cost–beneft issues that
concern Bennett et al. Te reason for this is
DE-EXTINCTION
Costs, benefits and ethics
Cost–beneft analysis suggests that the costs of de-extinction could imperil conservation of extant biodiversity in
many cases. But there is also an ethical dimension to this debate that cannot be ignored.
Ronald Sandler
The extinct huia and the extant North Island kōkako. The huia (left, Heteralocha acutirostris) was the
largest species of New Zealand wattlebird, and became extinct in the early twentieth century, probably
due to a combination of over-hunting and deforestation. The North Island kōkako (right, Callaeas wilsoni)
is an extant, but near-threatened, species of New Zealand wattlebird. These and the other species
used by Bennett et al. are listed in their Supplementary Information
1
. Image credits: The Natural History
Museum / Alamy stock photo (left); David Wall / Alamy stock photo (right). ©2017MacmillanPublishersLimited,partofSpringerNature.Allrightsreserved.