https://doi.org/10.1177/2233865918776849
International Area Studies Review
1–17
© The Author(s) 2018
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DOI: 10.1177/2233865918776849
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Social divisions, party support,
and the changes in the Thai
party system since 2001
Kai-Ping Huang
Department of Political Science, National Taiwan University, Taiwan
Stithorn Thananithichot
Research and Development Office, King Prajadhipok’s Institute, Thailand
Abstract
This article investigates the interactions of socioeconomic characteristics and electoral outcomes
at the constituency level to demonstrate the change in the Thai party system since 2001. Probing
the effects of the agricultural population and income inequality on electoral outcomes in the
proportional representation (PR) tier, this article finds that the Thai Rak Thai Party (TRT) and
the Democrat Party (DP) attracted voters with opposite social standings. While voters residing
in the provinces with substantial agrarian populations tended to vote more for the TRT than the
DP, constituencies with highly unequal income distribution were more likely to be DP supporters.
The findings provide evidence against alternative explanations, including regionalism and support
for a charismatic leader, for the TRT’s consecutive victories. Due to the convergence between
social divisions and party support, the Thai party system has become stable and strong enough to
resist short-term interventions, implying that the future electoral outcomes will likely be similar.
Keywords
Social divisions, party support, agricultural population, income inequality, Thailand
Introduction
Division and polarized politics have defined Thailand in the past decade. The demise of the revered
King Bhumibol Adulyadej in October 2016 added another layer of uncertainty to Thailand’s future.
With two military coups and the latest constitution passed in 2016 that limits people’s rights and
participation in politics and the power of elected governments (e.g. McCargo, 2015; Nelson, 2015),
Corresponding author:
Stithorn Thananithichot, King Prajadhipok’s Institute, Government Complex, Building B, Chaengwattana Rd., Laksi,
Bangkok 10210, Thailand.
Email: stithorn@kpi.ac.th
776849IAS 0 0 10.1177/2233865918776849International Area Studies ReviewHuang and Thananithichot
research-article 2018
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