Citation: Coco¸ s, R.; Mahler, B.;
Turcu-Stiolica, A.; Stoichit
,
˘ a, A.;
Ghinet, A.; Shelby, E.-S.; Bohîlt
,
ea, L.C.
Risk of Death in Comorbidity
Subgroups of Hospitalized
COVID-19 Patients Inferred by
Routine Laboratory Markers of
Systemic Inflammation on
Admission: A Retrospective Study.
Viruses 2022, 14, 1201. https://
doi.org/10.3390/v14061201
Academic Editors: Amilcar Tanuri
and Luciana Jesus Costa
Received: 9 May 2022
Accepted: 28 May 2022
Published: 31 May 2022
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viruses
Article
Risk of Death in Comorbidity Subgroups of Hospitalized
COVID-19 Patients Inferred by Routine Laboratory Markers of
Systemic Inflammation on Admission: A Retrospective Study
Relu Coco¸ s
1,2,
*
,†
, Beatrice Mahler
1,3,†
, Adina Turcu-Stiolica
4,
* , Alexandru Stoichit
,
ă
1,5
, Andreea Ghinet
1
,
Elena-Silvia Shelby
6
and Laurent
,
iu Camil Bohîlt
,
ea
2
1
Institute of Pneumophtisiology “Marius Nasta”, 050159 Bucharest, Romania;
beatrice.mahler@umfcd.ro (B.M.); alexandru.stoichita@drd.umfcd.ro (A.S.); andreea_bc15@yahoo.com (A.G.)
2
Department of Medical Genetics, University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Carol Davila”,
020032 Bucharest, Romania; gen_og@yahoo.com
3
Pneumology Department (II), University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Carol Davila”,
020021 Bucharest, Romania
4
Department of Pharmacoeconomics, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova,
200349 Craiova, Romania
5
Department of Cardiology, University of Medicine and Pharmacy “Carol Davila”, 020021 Bucharest, Romania
6
Scientific Research Nucleus, Dr. Nicolae Robanescu National Clinical Centre for Children’s Neurorecovery,
041408 Bucharest, Romania; silviajdx@yahoo.com
* Correspondence: relu.cocos@umfcd.ro (R.C.); adina.turcu@umfcv.ro (A.T.-S.)
† These authors contributed equally to this work.
Abstract: Our study objective was to construct models using 20 routine laboratory parameters on
admission to predict disease severity and mortality risk in a group of 254 hospitalized COVID-19
patients. Considering the influence of confounding factors in this single-center study, we also retro-
spectively assessed the correlations between the risk of death and the routine laboratory parameters
within individual comorbidity subgroups. In multivariate regression models and by ROC curve
analysis, a model of three routine laboratory parameters (AUC 0.85; 95% CI: 0.79–0.91) and a model
of six laboratory factors (AUC 0.86; 95% CI: 0.81–0.91) were able to predict severity and mortality of
COVID-19, respectively, compared with any other individual parameter. Hierarchical cluster analysis
showed that inflammatory laboratory markers grouped together in three distinct clusters including
positive correlations: WBC with NEU, NEU with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), NEU with
systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), NLR with SII and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR)
with SII. When analyzing the routine laboratory parameters in the subgroups of comorbidities, the
risk of death was associated with a common set of laboratory markers of systemic inflammation. Our
results have shown that a panel of several routine laboratory parameters recorded on admission could
be helpful for early evaluation of the risk of disease severity and mortality in COVID-19 patients.
Inflammatory markers for mortality risk were similar in the subgroups of comorbidities, suggesting
the limited effect of confounding factors in predicting COVID-19 mortality at admission.
Keywords: COVID-19; severity predictors; comorbidity; model; inflammatory markers
1. Introduction
Since the first reported case of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Hubei province,
China, in December 2019, this disease, which was initially described as a cluster of pneumo-
nia cases with unknown viral etiology, spread quickly into an ongoing and evolving pan-
demic that caused millions of infections and deaths worldwide despite the implemented
containment measures [1]. Shortly after, the causative agent of the current COVID-19
pandemic, a novel coronavirus named severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus
2 (SARS-CoV-2), was identified and sequenced [2].
Viruses 2022, 14, 1201. https://doi.org/10.3390/v14061201 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/viruses