International Journal of Technology (2015) 5: 733-742
ISSN 2086-9614 © IJTech 2015
SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL FOR AIRPORT CHARACTERIZATION IN HUB-
AND-SPOKE NETWORKS
Eny Yuliawati
1*
, Sigit P. Hadiwardoyo
1
, Bambang Susantono
1
, Tri Tjahjono
1
1
Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering Universitas Indonesia, Kampus Baru UI
Depok, Depok 16424, Indonesia
(Received: May 2015 / Revised: November 2015 / Accepted: December 2015)
ABSTRACT
Global revenue by passenger kilometers over the last ten years has grown at an average of 4.7
percent per year. The high growth of air transport must be offset by equivalent airport
investment: perhaps even a doubling of the percentage growth of numbers of passengers. The
purpose of this paper is to build a development model for investment in hub-and-spoke airport
networks. The methodology developed in this paper uses systems dynamics theory. The benefit
of using this approach is that the variables in the model are determined through a systems
thinking process; the determination of variables through such a thinking process considers
causality between variables dynamically, logically, and realistically within a complex aviation
industry system. The simulation model shows that using a system dynamics approach can be
used to simulate airport infrastructure investment development in a hub-and-spoke network.
One of the subsystems is congestion; the result of simulation of this subsystem yields the
behavioral characteristics, which show that a surge in demand (which is then offset by the
provision of capacity or capacity enlargement) will eventually become stable, indicated by a
lack of lines on the runway side. This means that decreases in congestion will increase
passenger demand, and will also enhance potential investment in airport infrastructure.
Keywords: Airport characterization; Airport infrastructure; Congestion; Hub-and-spoke
network; System dynamics
1. INTRODUCTION
Revenue passenger kilometers (RPKs) around the world grew at an average of 4.7 percent per
year over the past ten years (2000–2010); in Southeast Asia, RPK growth during the same
period was 6.6 percent per year (Badan Litbang Kementerian Perhubungan, 2012). This shows
that the rate of traffic growth in Southeast Asia during this period exceeded the growth rate of
the rest of the world. The growth of air passengers in Indonesia, as a part of that region, is very
promising, with the numbers of passengers who use air transport at 80 million/year; with
approximately 6 percent of the population of Indonesia using air transportation, investment in
airport infrastructure is necessary. Transport has a stronglypositive influence on economic
development (Irwin & Kasardah, 1991; Button & Taylor, 2000; Van den Berg et al., 1996).
In Indonesia, airport infrastructure can be differentiated by function, utilization, classification,
status, type of management, and type of activities. Based on a hierarchy of functions,
airportscan be grouped into the “hub” or “spoke” airport categories. Hub airports can be
distinguished by their service scale (primary, secondary, and tertiary), depending on the
*
Corresponding author’s email: enjulia_2005@yahoo.co.id, Tel. +62-21-7270029, Fax. +62-21-7270028
Permalink/DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.14716/ijtech.v6i5.1039