https://doi.org/10.52131/joe.2022.0402.0086
375
iRASD Journal of Economics
Volume 4, Number 2, 2022, Pages 375 – 393
Journal Home Page:
https://journals.internationalrasd.org/index.php/joe
Effect of Natural Disasters and Terrorism on Tourism Growth: Evidence
from Top Ten Tourist’s Destination
Anam Aziz
1
, Muhammad Atif Nawaz
2
, Sobia Hanif
3
1
Ph.D. Scholar, Department of Economics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan.
Email: aaanniii.1988@gmail.com
2
Associate Professor, Department of Economics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan.
Email: atif.nawaz@iub.edu.pk
3
Ph.D. Scholar, Department of Economics, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan.
Email: sobiyahanif63@gmail.com
ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT
Article History:
Received: June 08, 2022
Revised: June 25, 2022
Accepted: June 28, 2022
Available Online: June 30, 2022
Tourism is influenced by a wide range of factors and forces
including exogenous ones that have no direct link to the tourism
industry. Terrorism and natural disasters are two examples of
such factors. Individuals, organizations and culture, all are
affected by them. This study analyzes the impact of natural
disasters and terrorism on tourism growth by using a panel data
for the period 1995-2019 collected from a variety of sources.
Tourism is the dependent variable whereas natural disasters,
terrorism are independent and economic growth, tourism
employment, tourism investment and alcohol consumption are
the control variables of the study. This study used pooled mean
group and robust least square estimation. The findings show that
natural disasters and terrorism have varying degrees of impact
on tourism growth. While there is a positive outcome in some
situations, the overall influence is negative. Findings of the study
suggest that understanding the relationship between natural
disasters, terrorism, and tourism is beneficial to destination
operators who are responsible for rehabilitation, restoration, and
promotion.
Keywords:
Tourism Growth
Terrorism
Natural Disasters
Top Ten Tourist Destinations
JEL Classification Codes:
F52, Q54, Z32
Funding:
This research received no specific
grant from any funding agency in the
public, commercial, or not-for-profit
sectors.
© 2022 The Authors, Published by iRASD. This is an Open Access Article
under the Creative Common Attribution Non-Commercial 4.0
Corresponding Author’s Email: atif.nawaz@iub.edu.pk
Citation: Aziz, A., Nawaz, M. A., & Hanif, S. (2022). Effect of Natural Disasters and Terrorism on Tourism
Growth: Evidence from Top Ten Tourist’s Destination. IRASD Journal of Economics, 4(2), 375–393.
https://doi.org/10.52131/joe.2022.0402.0086
1. Introduction
Tourism is one of the great industrial sectors of the world (Sofronov, 2018). Tourism is a
billion-dollar sector that ranks among the top three businesses in most countries worldwide
regardless of their level of growth (Bojanic & Lo, 2016). The World Travel and Tourism Council
(WTTC) predicts that, due to the Corona virus disease of 2019 pandemic, hundred million jobs
are at risk and US$2.7 trillion in sales may be lost globally in 2020 (WTTC, 2020). Due to
persistent mobility constraints, the travel & tourism sector's contribution to the global GDP fell
from 10.3% in 2019 to 5.3 percent in 2020. The percentage increased to 6.1 percent in 2021.
Domestic and international visitor spending climbed by 31.4 and 3.8 percent respectively in
2021, after falling by 47.4 percent and 69.7% respectively in 2020 (WTTC, 2021). Tourism
contributes to the development of local communities and the reduction of poverty (Manzoor, Wei,
Asif, Haq, & Rehman, 2019). Travel and Tourism is not only the main source of employer in some