Universal Journal of Geoscience 2(8): 229-241, 2014 http://www.hrpub.org
DOI: 10.13189/ujg.2014.020801
Population Growth and Its Impact on Urban Expansion:
A Case Study of Bahawalpur, Pakistan
Asad Ali Khan
*
, Sana Arshad , Muhammad Mohsin
Department of Geography, The Islamia University of Bahawalpur, Pakistan
*Corresponding Author: asadkhaniub@yahoo.com
Copyright © 2014Horizon Research Publishing All rights reserved.
Abstract Land cover analysis and land use
transformations, which are mainly associated with
population growth, are considered as essential elements for
studying the relationship between population growth, land
use conversions and environmental consequences. Most
cities of the world are becoming urbanized with every
passing day and human induced land cover changes are
modifying the pattern of land use in urban areas. Currently,
Pakistan is standing at an influential place with regard to the
size of its population, occupying sixth position among the
world countries. Almost all its administrative entities have
experienced unprecedented population growth throughout its
entire life. Its urban areas are expanding more rapidly than
their rural counterparts due to both by natural increase and by
rural-urban migration. Study area for the current research,
Bahawalpur is one of the fastest growing cities of Pakistan
ranking twelfth among the cities of Punjab Province. This
study aims at to examine the historical population growth of
the city since last fifty years correlated with changing land
use pattern and urban area expansion. Study is based on
secondary data analysis using urban expansion indices for
measuring the rate of urban change with increasing
population growth. Application of regression model also
verifies the increasing rate of urban area with population size
and indicates an alarming situation for urban and city
planners. Trend of urban growth in Bahawalpur shows that
city is moving promptly towards highly urbanized cities of
Pakistan. Its unprecedented and unplanned expansion may
cause serious urban problems. Thus, it needs a serious look
and attention of city planners. This study can also be helpful
in providing some base line information.
Keywords Population Growth, Urban Expansion Ratio,
Land Use Pattern, Urban Change
1. Introduction
Population growth is increase in number of (per hundred)
people inhabiting in a given area over a given period of time
whereas urbanization is a process of population
concentration in a specific area. Urbanization usually
proceeds in two ways; the multiplication of point of
concentration and the increase in the size of individual
concentration (Tisdale, 1941). Pham and Yamaguchi
(2011)have defined the urbanization as “Changes in the
territorial extent of an area due to developed transformation
of land covers/ land uses from non-developed”. Urbanization
can be discussed in two ways; the level of urbanization
(existing situation of a region at any particular moment), and
tempo of urbanization which refers to “trend of urban
development” (UN, 1974).
Increase in urban share of total population called
“urbanization” is determined by three factors namely; natural
growth, rural-urban migration, and reclassification of areas
from rural to urban (Buhaug & Urdal, 2013).This process
takes place due to the intensification of human activities
including marketization and industrialization. It is expected
that by the mid 20
th
century every 3
rd
person will be living in
urban areas with faster demographic expansion and rural
urban migration. More than three billion people will be
residing in cities especially in Africa and Asia (Buhaug &
Urdal, 2013; Pham, et al., 2011; UNHABITAT, 2010).
Numerous studies support the evidence of rapid
urbanization as a result of human induced land use/ land
cover changes (Aljoufie, Zuidgeest, Brussel, & van
Maarseveen, 2013; Briassoulis, 2000; Halder, 2013; H.
Zhang, Qi, Ye, Cai, & Ma, 2013; Z. Zhang, Su, Xiao, Jiang,
& Wu, 2013). It is a common observation that with growing
population, urban areas are expanding. The rate of expansion,
however, depends upon several other associated factors. It is
understandable and several studies also argue that human
population growth and resource consumption leads to the
expansion of urban land area and bring changes in its land
use and land cover (Cheng & Masser, 2003; Haregeweyn,
Fikadub, Tsunekawa, & Tsubo, 2012; Tian et al., 2005).
Land use is the varying activities performed by human
beings to divide the landscape into different patterns with
concerned changes (Carole L.Jolly & Barbara Boyle Torrey,
1993) and varies with human activities and the purpose for
which land is being used. It can be used for food production,
provision for shelter, recreation, processing of materials, and
so on (Halder, 2013). Historical evidences demonstrate that