Accepted Manuscript A novel single-parameter approach for forecasting algal blooms Xi Xiao, Junyu He, Haomin Huang, Todd R. Miller, George Christakos, Elke S. Reichwaldt, Anas Ghadouani, Shengpan Lin, Xinhua Xu, Jiyan Shi PII: S0043-1354(16)30835-1 DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2016.10.076 Reference: WR 12474 To appear in: Water Research Received Date: 20 April 2016 Revised Date: 29 September 2016 Accepted Date: 30 October 2016 Please cite this article as: Xiao, X., He, J., Huang, H., Miller, T.R., Christakos, G., Reichwaldt, E.S., Ghadouani, A., Lin, S., Xu, X., Shi, J., A novel single-parameter approach for forecasting algal blooms, Water Research (2016), doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2016.10.076. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.