EPIN Commentaries offer concise, policy-oriented insights into topical issues raised by the debate on
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attributable only to the author in a personal capacity and not to any institution with which he is
associated.
Umut Uzer is Associate Professor at the Istanbul Technical University.
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© Copyright 2015, EPIN
What direction for Turkey?
A plea for political reconciliation
Umut Uzer
hirteen years of Justice and Development Party (AKP) rule in Turkey had provided a degree of
stability and economic growth for the country from 2002-15 – a stability not seen since the
1980s under the premiership of Turgut Özal. But it has also had a damaging effect on civil
liberties and the rule of law, especially since their second electoral victory in 2007.
On 10
th
October 2015, 97 people were killed in a peace rally in capital Ankara, perpetrated by two
suicide bombers. In what was dubbed the “Turkish September 11” by Italy’s Foreign Minister Paolo
Gentiloni, numerous activists from the Republican People’s Party (CHP) and the People’s Democracy
Party (HDP), as well as trade union members, lost their lives. This attack on demonstrators demanding
peace was the biggest terrorist attack in Turkish history. So far no organisation has claimed
responsibility for the attack, but for the government the main suspect is the so-called Islamic State
(IS). It is clearly difficult to determine the culprits in attacks like this. If the perpetrators were indeed
IS, this would demonstrate that the country’s borders have become more porous as civil wars are
raging in Syria and Iraq. Any escalation in violence, by the PKK, IS or other organisations just before
the elections is troubling. The radicalisation of Muslims and Kurds should be tackled through of
education programmes and political negotiations with all the actors in Turkey.
Inconclusive elections
The election results of June 7
th
this year meant that the AKP was unable to form a government on its
own for the first time since it came to power in 2002. After three consecutive victories at the polls and
with increasing shares of the vote after each election, the 2015 elections proved something of a shock
for the ruling party.
The critical outcome of the election was the passing of the 10% threshold by the HDP and its entry
into parliament for the first time without cooperating with other parties or running as independents, as
they did in the past. While this party has traditionally been the mouthpiece of the Kurdistan Workers'
Party (PKK), in this election they used a more peaceful and liberal discourse, nominating Kurdish and
non-Kurdish candidates who represent different groups in Turkish society, usually the underdogs,
which appealed to urban secular Turks aiming to oust the government after ten years. This was a
particularly interesting development as many individuals who had voted for the Kemalist Republican
People’s Party and who tended to be middle or upper middle class, including journalists, academics
and even bureaucrats, voted for the HDP in June 2015.
By way of illustration, a group of academics posted their decision to vote for the HDP on the internet
in an attempt to prevent the AKP from changing the country from a parliamentary into a presidential
T
Commentary
No. 26/ 14 October 2015