Sex-Specific Associations of Established and Emerging Cardiac Biomarkers with All-Cause Mortality in Older Adults: The ActiFE Study Dhayana Dallmeier, 1,2 Michael Denkinger, 3,4 Richard Peter, 5,6 Kilian Rapp, 7 Allan S. Jaffe, 8 Wolfgang Koenig, 1* and Dietrich Rothenbacher, 5 for the ActiFE Study Group BACKGROUND: N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) has strong prognostic value for all-cause mortality in the general population. High-sensitivity as- says now allow detection of cardiac troponins even in asymptomatic populations. We examined the association between NT-proBNP, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT), and hs-cTnI and all-cause mortality in older adults. METHODS: We conducted a longitudinal cohort study [Activity and Function in the Elderly in Ulm (ActiFE Ulm)] including 1506 community-dwelling adults 65 years old with NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT, and hs-cTnI mea- sured at baseline. We evaluated the associations between log-transformed biomarker concentrations and 4-year to- tal mortality, accounting for possible confounders, with Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: We observed 125 deaths among 1422 partici- pants (median follow-up 4 years). We detected effect modification by sex for all biomarkers (all P values 0.05) expressed as hazard ratio (HR) for death per 1-unit increment of ln(biomarker concentration) in women (n = 618, 37 deaths) compared with men (n = 804, 88 deaths): HR 2.97 (95% CI 2.04 – 4.33) vs 1.73 (1.40 –2.13) for NT-proBNP; 3.67 (2.31–5.81) vs 2.15 (1.61–2.87) for hs-cTnT; and 3.32 (2.13–5.18) vs 1.92 (1.55–2.38) for hs-cTnI. Among 777 participants with undetectable hs-cTnT (5 ng/L), hs-cTnI remained as- sociated with all-cause mortality in age- and sex-adjusted analysis. CONCLUSIONS: NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT, and hs-cTnI were independently associated with all-cause mortality in older adults. The strength of these associations varied between men and women, emphasizing the need for ad- ditional sex-specific research among older people. © 2014 American Association for Clinical Chemistry In most countries, life expectancy continues to increase. However, living longer is also associated with the grow- ing manifestation of comorbidities, with prevalences as high as 80% and 50% for 1 and 2 comorbidities, respec- tively (1). In this context, cardiovascular disease still re- mains 1 of the 2 leading causes of death among people 65 years old (2). Predicting those at risk might allow for the development of preventive strategies. Biomarkers such as the natriuretic peptides and cardiac troponin measured by high-sensitivity assays have that potential. B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) 9 (active form) and N-terminal pro-BNP (NT-proBNP) (inactive form with longer half-life) are released from the ventricular myocar- dium in the settings of volume and/or pressure overload. BNP has a cardioprotective effect, improving myocardial relaxation and counteracting vasoconstriction, sodium retention, and antidiuretic effects of the activated renin– angiotensin–aldosterone system (3). Both have been identified as good markers for myocardial hemodynamic 1 Department of Internal Medicine II-Cardiology, University of Ulm Medical Center, Ulm, Germany; 2 Department of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA; 3 Agaplesion Bethesda Clinic Ulm, Geriatric Center Ulm/Alb-Donau, Ulm, Germany; 4 Institute of Molecular Medicine and Stem Cell Research, 5 Institute of Epide- miology and Medical Biometry, and 6 Institute of the History, Philosophy, and Ethics of Medicine, Ulm University, Ulm, Germany; 7 Clinic for Geriatric Rehabilitation, Robert- Bosch Hospital, Stuttgart, Germany; 8 Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Division of Car- diovascular Diseases, Rochester, MN. * Address correspondence to this author at: Department of Internal Medicine II, Cardiol- ogy, University of Ulm Medical Center, Albert-Einstein-Allee 23, D-89081 Ulm, Germany. Fax +49-731-500-45021; e-mail wolfgang.koenig@uniklinik-ulm.de. Received August 11, 2014; accepted November 4, 2014. Previously published online at DOI: 10.1373/clinchem.2014.230839 © 2014 American Association for Clinical Chemistry In addition to the authors, the ActiFE Ulm study group consists of K. Scharffetter- Kochanek, Department of Dermatology and Allergology; H. Geiger, Institute Molecular Medicine and Stem Cell Research; A. Lukas, Agaplesion Bethesda Clinic; M. Riepe, Divi- sion of Gerontopsychiatry, Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy II; J.M. Stein- acker, Department of Sports and Rehabilitation Medicine; A. Ludolph, C. von Arnim, Department of Neurology; G. Nagel, G. Weinmayr, Institute of Epidemiology and Medical Biometry. All institutes are located at Ulm University. 9 Nonstandard abbreviations: BNP, brain natriuretic peptide; NT-proBNP, N-terminal pro- BNP; cTnT, cardiac troponin T; hs, high-sensitivity; ActiFE Ulm, Activity and Function in the Elderly in Ulm; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; CRP, C-reactive protein; LOD, limit of detection; BMI, body mass index; HR, hazard ratio; LV, left ventricular. Clinical Chemistry 61:2 389–399 (2015) Lipids, Lipoproteins, and Cardiovascular Risk Factors 389 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/clinchem/article/61/2/389/5611376 by guest on 22 June 2022