Compare CAP‐88 and MCNP calculations of cloudshine.
Accuracy of Cloudshine Gamma
Dose Calculations in the CAP-88
Dispersion Model
Michael W. McNaughton, Jessica M. Gillis, Elizabeth Ruedig,
Jeffrey J. Whicker, and David P. Fuehne*
Abstract: The U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency dispersion model, CAP‐88, calculates
ground-level dose using the ground-level concen-
tration and the semi-infinite cloud approxima-
tion. Doses can be underestimated for elevated
plumes during stable atmospheric conditions
at receptor locations within a kilometer down-
wind of a stack. The purpose of this paper is to
identify when CAP‐88 calculations of gamma
dose from cloudshine are inaccurate and provide
estimates of the inaccuracy. The method used
compares CAP‐88 estimates with Monte Carlo
N-Particle (MCNP) estimates. Comparisons were
made at distances of 800 m and 3,000 m
downwind of the stack and for plume heights
from 0 to 50 m. For these conditions, the an-
nual dose calculated by CAP‐88 is greater
than or equal to that calculated by MCNP.
Health Phys. 112(4):414–419; 2017.
Key words: operational topics; emissions, at-
mospheric; modeling, dose assessment; Monte
Carlo
INTRODUCTION
The U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency (U.S. EPA) computer model,
CAP‐88, (U.S. EPA 2012–2015) is
used to calculate the air-pathway
contribution to the annual public
dose at sites such as Argonne Na-
tional Laboratory, Brookhaven Na-
tional Laboratory, Fermi National
Accelerator Laboratory, Los Alamos
National Laboratory, and Oak Ridge
National Laboratory. At these sites,
emissions of air-activation prod-
ucts such as
11
C have the potential
to cause external-radiation dose to
individuals near the site boundary.
This dose is calculated by CAP‐88
and used to demonstrate compli-
ance with U.S. EPA regulations.
In some cases, this dose can be
underestimated, especially for ele-
vated plumes during stable atmo-
spheric conditions and for receptors
within a kilometer downwind of a
stack (McNaughton et al. 2017).
For example, if the entire plume is
overhead and the ground-level air
concentration is essentially zero,
CAP‐88 will report zero dose be-
cause it does not calculate the ex-
ternal “cloudshine” dose.
The purpose of this paper is to
compare the CAP‐88 calculations
with those of the Monte Carlo
N-Particle (MCNP) computer pro-
gram (LANL 2004) to determine
when CAP‐ 88 calculations of gamma
dose from cloudshine are inaccu-
rate, and to estimate the accuracy
of the CAP‐88 results.
In this paper, the calculations
are for distances of 800 m and
3,000 m downwind of the stack
and for plume heights from 0
to 50 m because these choices
correspond to the major sources
of
11
C at U.S. Department of En-
ergy facilities, and also because
there are direct measurements of
cloudshine for these conditions
(Bowen 1994). However, the methods
described here can also be used for
other distances and stack heights
(McNaughton et al. 2017).
In the following sections, the
CAP‐88 and MCNP calculations
will be described, followed by a
comparison of the two methods.
METHODS
External doses were calculated
using CAP‐88 and MCNP. Calcula-
tions were performed for specific
cases of geometry, wind direction,
wind speed, and atmospheric sta-
bility class (A through F). These
cases were combined to calculate
the annual dose, using a weighted
sum with the statistical weighting
determined according to the prob-
ability of each case.
Technical details of CAP‐88 and
MCNP
The following sections describe
the technical details of CAP‐88
and MCNP that are needed for
the calculations.
The CAP‐88 calculations of
concentration
CAP‐88 uses a Gaussian-plume
model (Slade 1968; NCRP 1984;
Eisenbud and Gesell 1997; Cember
and Johnson 2009; Till and Grogan
*MS J978, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los
Alamos, NM 87545.
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
Michael McNaughton is a Certified Health Physicist at Los Alamos National
Laboratory. He studied mathematics at the University of Oxford and nuclear
physics at the University of London and the University of California. Since
then, he has worked for forty years in nuclear physics and health physics at
Los Alamos National Laboratory. His email is mcnaught@lanl.gov .
Operational Topic
414 www.health-physics.com April 2017
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