https://doi.org/10.1177/1087054719855689
Journal of Attention Disorders
1–12
© The Author(s) 2019
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DOI: 10.1177/1087054719855689
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Article
The prevalence of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder
(ADHD) among adults is a function of children and adoles-
cents who have been diagnosed with ADHD aging into
adulthood, diagnoses that have occurred during adulthood,
and mortality. As such, the point prevalence of ADHD in
the adult population, especially at younger ages when mor-
tality is less of a concern, is largely shaped by changes in
historical context and policy that differentially shape the
experiences of cohorts and historical period effects that
have broad effects across all age groups.
In part, due to data limitations, no national, population-
representative study has been able to examine inter- and
intra-cohort changes in ADHD among adults. To a substan-
tial degree, inter-cohort variation reflects changes in diag-
nostic criteria, lay referral, and professional practice that
affected children and adolescents as they came of age dur-
ing different historical time periods. Using repeated cross-
sectional data from two or more points in time, adults born
and raised in different historical periods can be compared at
the same age to reveal the extent of inter-cohort change.
Intra-cohort variation among adults primarily reflects
change in the propensity to diagnose during a particular his-
torical period. Such an effect has the potential to impact all
age groups, although subpopulations may be differentially
impacted. Using repeated cross-sectional data from two or
more points in time, synthetic cohorts can be constructed to
estimate change as cohorts age.
In this article, we use data from the 2007 and 2012 U.S.
National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) to document
inter- and intra-cohort changes in adult ADHD and examine
whether these vary by gender. Our study is limited to these
two cross-sectional surveys because they are the only years
that the NHIS asked adults whether they had ever been
diagnosed with ADHD.
Historical Context
The history of the medicalization of childhood deviance,
including excessive hyperactivity, inattentiveness, and
impulsivity, and the evolution of the diagnostic criteria for
the psychiatric condition that encompasses those behaviors,
are both well-documented (Conrad & Schneider, 1980/2010;
Conrad, 2008; Lange, Reichl, Lange, Tucha, & Tucha,
2010). The development of the contemporary diagnosis
“ADHD” can be traced back as far as 1798, from the initial
description in the medical literature of similar symptoms in
children to the more recent establishment and repeated
855689JAD XX X 10.1177/1087054719855689Journal of Attention DisordersLondon and Landes
research-article 2019
1
Syracuse University, NY, USA
Corresponding Author:
Andrew S. London, Associate Dean and Professor of Sociology, Maxwell
School of Citizenship and Public Affairs, Syracuse University, Maxwell
Dean’s Office, 200 Eggers Hall, Syracuse, NY 13244, USA.
Email: anlondon@maxwell.syr.edu
Cohort Change in the Prevalence of
ADHD Among U.S. Adults: Evidence of a
Gender-Specific Historical Period Effect
Andrew S. London
1
and Scott D. Landes
1
Abstract
Objective: To document inter- and intra-cohort changes in adult ADHD and examine whether changes vary by gender.
Method: We analyze data from the 2007 and 2012 U.S. National Health Interview Survey. Results: The prevalence of
ADHD among adults aged 18 to 64 years increased from 3.41% in 2007 to 4.25% in 2012. As expected, patterns of inter-
and intra-cohort change varied by gender. At younger ages, inter-cohort gender differences are more distinct due to a
spike in prevalence among boys/men born in or after 1980. Consistent with a gender-specific historical period effect, recent
intra-cohort increases among women have narrowed the gender gap. Conclusion: The gender gap in the prevalence of
ADHD among adults decreased by 31.1% from 2007 to 2012 due to increased prevalence among adult women of all ages.
We discuss these results in relation to diagnostic practice, adult health and well-being, data limitations and needs, and
directions for future research. (J. of Att. Dis. XXXX; XX(X) XX-XX)
Keywords
ADHD, adult health, gender, prevalence, cohort change, historical period effect