CLINICAL INVESTIGATIONS
Continued Use of Warfarin in Veterans with Atrial Fibrillation
After Dementia Diagnosis
Ariela R. Orkaby, MD,*
†
Al Ozonoff, PhD,
‡§
Joel I. Reisman, AB,
¶
Donald R. Miller, ScD,
¶
**
Shibei Zhao, MPH,
¶
and Adam J. Rose, MD, MSc
¶††
OBJECTIVES: To determine the effectiveness of warfarin
in older adults with dementia.
DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study.
SETTING: Department of Veterans Affairs national
healthcare system.
PARTICIPANTS: Veterans aged 65 and older (73% aged
≥75, 99% male, 91% white) who had been receiving war-
farin for nonvalvular atrial fibrillation for at least
6 months, were newly diagnosed with dementia in fiscal
year 2007 or 2008, and were not enrolled in Medicare
Advantage (n = 2,572).
MEASUREMENTS: The onset of dementia was defined
according to International Classification of Diseases, Ninth
Revision, code. Participants were followed for up to
4 years for persistence of warfarin therapy, anticoagula-
tion control, major hemorrhage, ischemic stroke, and all-
cause mortality.
RESULTS: The average CHADS2 score was 3.3 Æ 1.3.
After a diagnosis of dementia, 405 individuals (16%) per-
sisted on warfarin therapy. Unadjusted Cox proportional
hazards analysis demonstrated a protective effect of war-
farin in prevention of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio
(HR) = 0.64, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.46–0.89,
P = .008), major bleeding (HR = 0.72, 95% CI = 0.55–
0.94, P = .02), and all-cause mortality (HR = 0.66, 95%
CI = 0.55–0.79, P < .001). Using propensity score match-
ing, the protective effect of continuing warfarin persisted
in prevention of stroke (HR = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.54–
0.996, P = .047) and mortality (HR = 0.72, 95%
CI = 0.60–0.87, P < .001), with no statistically significant
decrease in risk of major bleeding (HR = 0.78, 95%
CI = 0.61–1.01, P = .06).
CONCLUSION: Discontinuing warfarin after a diagnosis
of dementia is associated with a significant increase in
stroke and mortality. J Am Geriatr Soc 2016.
Key words: atrial fibrillation; dementia; warfarin
A
trial fibrillation (AF) is a common disease in older
adults, affecting one in 25 adults aged 60 and older
and up to one in 10 adults 80 years and older.
1
Anticoag-
ulation is the mainstay of therapy to prevent stroke, the
most-feared outcome associated with AF. Millions of peo-
ple around the world take the oral vitamin K antagonist
warfarin to prevent and treat thromboembolic events.
2
Despite the approval of novel anticoagulants, millions of
individuals will continue to take warfarin for the foresee-
able future. The majority of individuals who take warfarin
are aged 65 and older.
3
Another condition that commonly affects older adults
is dementia. It is estimated that 24.3 million people have
dementia worldwide,
4
a number that will also grow as the
population ages. Predictably, many older adults have
dementia and AF, but little is known about how best to
manage these individuals. The natural history of individu-
als with AF taking warfarin who then develop dementia is
not well understood, which may contribute to the under-
use of anticoagulants in older adults with AF.
5,6
This study used a large, detailed database of individu-
als receiving oral anticoagulation from the Department of
Veterans Affairs (VA) to explore these questions. Individu-
als who had previously been receiving warfarin for AF and
then received a new diagnosis of dementia were identified
and tracked for up to 4 years. The outcomes of persistence
of warfarin therapy, anticoagulation control, major hemor-
rhage, stroke, and all-cause mortality were examined.
From the *Geriatric Research, Education, and Clinical Center (GRECC),
Veterans Affairs Boston Healthcare System;
†
Division of Aging, Brigham
and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School;
‡
Center for Patient
Safety and Quality Research, Boston Children’s Hospital;
§
Department of
Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School;
¶
Center for Healthcare Organization
and Implementation Research, Bedford Veterans Affairs Medical Center;
**School of Public Health, Boston University; and
††
Department of
Medicine, Section of Internal Medicine, Boston University Medical Center,
Boston, Massachusetts.
An earlier version of this work was presented as a poster at the American
Geriatric Society meeting, May 2014, in Orlando, Florida.
Address correspondence to Dr. Ariela R. Orkaby, Division of Aging,
Brigham and Women’s Hospital, 1620 Tremont Street, Boston, MA
02120. E-mail: aorkaby@partners.org
DOI: 10.1111/jgs.14573
JAGS 2016
© 2016, Copyright the Authors
Journal compilation © 2016, The American Geriatrics Society 0002-8614/16/$15.00