CPEC: a route for outflow of illegal
wealth from Pakistan
Wahaj Ahmed Khan
Karachi University Business School, University of Karachi, Karachi, Pakistan
Syed Tehseen Jawaid
Applied Economics Research Center, University of Karachi, Karachi, Pakistan, and
Danish Ahmed Siddiqui
Karachi University Business School, University of Karachi, Karachi, Pakistan
Abstract
Purpose – This study examines the new venue of moving illegal wealth from Pakistan under the umbrella
of China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). The study first discussed the features of CPEC in short and
how it may bring stability and a new phase of development in the region and also in Pakistan. The review of
related literature has suggested that previous studies are more focused on the advantages of CPEC and are
almost neglecting the cons of the said project. Later, the research puts light on the problem of money
laundering from Pakistan through CPEC and related trade transactions; Walker’s Gravity model has been
used to calculate the attractiveness of money laundering. It has highlighted that China’s attractiveness for
moving illegal wealth from Pakistan is increased in recent years; the risk of an increase in the amount of
money laundered is also analyzed through the Fan Chart technique. Attributes which are making China more
attractive for Pakistani wrongdoers are also discussed. The study aims to conclude that if the problem of
money laundering will be addressed properly, the CPEC will play a vital role in bringing stability in Pakistan.
Design/methodology/approach – This study uses a descriptive and quantitative approach. This study
uses the Walker’s Gravity Model updated by Unger et al. (2006) to measure money laundering in Pakistan. A
newly developed technique for forecasting that is Fan Chart has been used to predict the trend of China’s
attractiveness for money laundering as a preferred destination from Pakistan.
Findings – The study finds out that China is already increasing its ranking as a favorite destination for
money laundering from Pakistan. Fan Chart analysis suggests that the attractiveness score will be increased.
Practical implications – The study helps in highlighting the problem of increase in money laundering
from Pakistan through China under the umbrella of CPEC.
Originality/value – To the best of the authors’ knowledge, there is no study found on the topic of the
problem of money laundering linked with CPEC, and this is the first effort to point out the problem.
Keywords Money laundering, China Pakistan economic corridor, Fan chart, Illegal wealth,
Walker’s Gravity
Paper type Research paper
Introduction
The extended and strong bilateral ties between Pakistan and China had taken a leap
forward in 2013 when both countries had made an agreement to connect Pakistan’s port city,
Gawadar, with China’s western part of the country. The western region of China is not
developed yet, compared to other parts of China, as this region is quite remote from sea
connected parts of the country and therefore is unable to cope up and get benefits of China’s
rapid growth and development. When the Chinese President, Xi Jinping, visited Islamabad
in April 2015, the project of China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) was formally
launched. In recent years, economic corridors have emerged as an important tool of regional
Outflow of
illegal wealth
Journal of Money Laundering
Control
© Emerald Publishing Limited
1368-5201
DOI 10.1108/JMLC-06-2020-0065
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