Wind energy potential and economic assessment of four locations in
Sistan and Balouchestan province in Iran
Farivar Fazelpour
a
, Elin Markarian
b
, Nima Soltani
c, *
a
Department of Energy Systems Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Islamic Azad University-South Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran
b
Department of Mechanical Engineering, South Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
c
Young Researchers and Elite Club, South Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
article info
Article history:
Received 8 June 2016
Received in revised form
4 February 2017
Accepted 23 March 2017
Available online 28 March 2017
Keywords:
Renewable energy
Wind speed
Wind power potential
Wind energy
Weibull distribution
Economic assessment
abstract
Utilization of wind turbines to produce energy has been increasing in recent years, due to technology
advancement, cost stability and environmental issues. In this paper, the wind resource and economic
feasibility have been studied to avoid investment risk in cites of Zabol, Zahak, Zahedan and Mirjaveh in
Sistan and Balouchestan province of Iran. The Weibull distribution function has been applied to estimate
the wind power and energy density, using meteorological data. Determination of coefficient, root mean
square error, mean bias error and mean bias absolute error are also calculated to ensure the accuracy of
the statistical analysis of fitted distribution. Windographer software has been employed to investigate
the prevailing wind direction. The estimated annual energy densities are 2495.36, 2355.69, 1265.24 and
1214.01 kWh/m
2
/year, and the annual mean power densities are 284.97, 269.02, 144.49 and 138.64 W/
m
2
. It is found that Zabol and Zahedan are suitable for large scale power generation. The results indicate
that using DW61-900 kW wind turbines are highly beneficial for Zabol and Zahak, while for Zahedan,
DW52/54-250 kW wind turbine is more appropriate for generating electricity. However, Mirjaveh is
suitable for off-grid applications. It should be noted that in this analysis, monetary units are presented in
2016 U.S. dollar.
© 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
We have been burning increasing amounts of fossil fuels i.e.
coal, oil, gasoline and natural gas in energy production or con-
sumption since the industrial revolution got into full swing in the
19th century. Global warming and climate change are defined as an
increase in average global temperatures. Greenhouse gases, such as
carbon dioxide (CO
2
), have a crucial role in global warming which is
a growing concern for the environmental issues [1]. These gases
have been arisen out of misuse of conventional fossil fuels. In
addition, due to industrialization and population growth, demand
for energy reserves has been growing rapidly. All these delicate
problems have led energy policy makers to shift toward non-
exhaustible energies with lower carbon footprint [2e4]. Wind is a
non-exhaustible, clean and benign environmentally source of en-
ergy found abundantly in most countries [5]. Wind power is a
rapidly advancing technology and has gained in popularity due to
its low and stable costs notwithstanding conventional fossil fuels
[6,7]. The total accessible wind energy approximates to 10 million
MW which can provide 35% of world’s total demand [8]. The global
installed wind energy capacity attained 432 gigawatts (GW) by the
end of 2015 [9]. The installation in 2014 has surpassed 50GW which
is a sharp rise comparing with 2013 when the installation was
approximately 35.6 GW. The Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC) is
the international trade association for the wind power industry,
and their mission is to ensure that wind power surmounts all ob-
stacles to provide substantial environmental and economic bene-
fits. According to GWEC report China succeeded in cornering 45% of
the annual market with 23 GW installation in 2014. China is leading
the market at present with total installed capacity of 114 GW. USA
and Germany are the second and the third leading markets with
total installation of 65 and 39 GW, respectively [10]. It is forecasted
that by the end of 2019 the cumulative installed capacity will reach
666 GW.
Prior to installing a wind farm, the wind energy potential,
feasibility and operating cost must be assessed to avoid investment
risk and maximize the efficiency [11]. A large number of researches
* Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: F_fazelpour@azad.ac.ir (F. Fazelpour), Markarian.elin@gmail.
com (E. Markarian), Nima_soltani@yahoo.com (N. Soltani).
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Renewable Energy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/renene
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2017.03.072
0960-1481/© 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Renewable Energy 109 (2017) 646e667