Available online at www.CivileJournal.org
Civil Engineering Journal
(E-ISSN: 2476-3055; ISSN: 2676-6957)
Vol. 8, No. 07, July, 2022
1358
A Computational Approach to a Mathematical Model of Climate
Change Using Heat Sources and Diffusion
Muhammad Shoaib Arif
1*
, Kamaleldin Abodayeh
1
, Yasir Nawaz
2
1
Department of Mathematics and Sciences, College of Humanities and Sciences, Prince Sultan University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
2
Department of Mathematics, Air University, PAF Complex E-9, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan.
Received 20 April 2022; Revised 09 June 2022; Accepted 21 June 2022; Published 01 July 2022
Abstract
The present work aims to extend the climate change energy balance models using a heat source. An ordinary differential
equations (ODEs) model is extended to a partial differential equations (PDEs) model using the effects of diffusion over
the spatial variable. In addition, numerical schemes are presented using the Taylor series expansions. For the climate
change model in the form of ODEs, a comparison of the presented scheme is made with the existing Trapezoidal method.
It is found that the presented scheme converges faster than the existing scheme. Also, the proposed scheme provides fewer
errors than the existing scheme. The PDEs model is also solved with the presented scheme, and the results are displayed
in the form of different graphs. The impact of the climate feedback parameter, the heat uptake parameter of the deep ocean,
and the heat source parameter on global mean surface temperature and deep ocean temperature is also portrayed. In
addition, these recently developed techniques exhibit a high level of predictability.
Keywords: Energy Balance Models; Heat Sources; Diffusion Effects; Numerical Scheme; Stability.
1. Introduction
In the 21
st
century, climate change is the most frequently faced global problem. The world's future is highly
dependent upon the study of climatic changes and their consequences. For this purpose, global climate models are the
best way to anticipate any change. Commonly, a climate model provides a mathematical representation of the
atmosphere, oceans, land, and their physical, chemical, and biological principles. These principles provide the basis for
deriving equations which are solved numerically over a grid using discrete steps in space and time. The time period
could range from a few minutes to many years depending upon the requirement of the process under observation or
capacity of computer programing and the choice of the numerical method.
Stability and scalability are the two main difficulties that climate researchers come across frequently. Stability refers
to the stability of the solution with respect to initial conditions. However, scalability defines the increased resolution of
current models. Nowadays, models with the highest resolution (mesoscale models) with too coarse a numerical grid
exhibit difficulty in representing small-scale processes like turbulence in air and ocean boundary layers, interaction with
small-scale topography features, thunderstorms, and cloud microphysics processes, etc. Fine-tuned approximations that
were closely related to physical accuracy and computational viability were preferred by researchers.
Partial differential equations are the key equations used to build climate models. These are non-linear equations with
the system, and their solutions are truly significant. One can gain the most general cases' existence, uniqueness, and
* Corresponding author: marif@psu.edu.sa
http://dx.doi.org/10.28991/CEJ-2022-08-07-04
© 2022 by the authors. Licensee C.E.J, Tehran, Iran. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and
conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).