Pharmacoeconomics 2008; 26 (3): 235-249
ORIGINAL RESEARCH ARTICLE 1170-7690/08/0003-0235/$48.00/0
© 2008 Adis Data Information BV. All rights reserved.
Community and Patient Values for
Preventing Herpes Zoster
Tracy A. Lieu,
1
Ismael Ortega-Sanchez,
2
G. Thomas Ray,
3
Donna Rusinak,
1
W. Katherine Yih,
1
Peter W. Choo,
4
Irene Shui,
1
Ken Kleinman,
1
Rafael Harpaz
2
and
Lisa A. Prosser
1
1 Department of Ambulatory Care and Prevention, Harvard Pilgrim Health Care and Harvard
Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
2 National Center for Immunizations and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
3 Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente, Oakland, California, USA
4 Harvard Vanguard Medical Associates, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Objectives: The US Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices has recently Abstract
recommended a new vaccine against herpes zoster (shingles) for routine use in
adults aged ≥60 years. However, estimates of the cost effectiveness of this vaccine
vary widely, in part because of gaps in the data on the value of preventing herpes
zoster. Our aims were to (i) generate comprehensive information on the value of
preventing a range of outcomes of herpes zoster; (ii) compare these values among
community members and patients with shingles and post-herpetic neuralgia
(PHN); and (iii) identify clinical and demographic characteristics that explain the
variation in these values.
Methods: Community members drawn from a nationally representative survey
research panel (n = 527) completed an Internet-based survey using time trade-off
and willingness-to-pay questions to value a series of scenarios that described cases
of herpes zoster with varying pain intensities (on a scale of 0 to 10, where 0
represents no pain and 10 represents the worst imaginable pain) and duration
(30 days to 1 year). Patients with shingles (n = 382) or PHN (n = 137) [defined as
having symptoms for ≥90 days] from two large healthcare systems completed
telephone interviews with similar questions to the Internet-based survey and also
answered questions about their current experience with herpes zoster. We con-
structed generalized linear mixed models to evaluate the associations between
demographic and clinical characteristics, the length and intensity of the health
states and time trade-off and willingness-to-pay values.
Results: In time trade-off questions, community members offered a mean of
89 (95% CI 24, 182) discounted days to avoid the least severe scenario (pain level
of 3 for 1 month) and a mean of 162 (95% CI 88, 259) discounted days to avoid the
most severe scenario (pain level of 8 for 12 months). Compared with patients with
shingles, community members traded more days to avoid low-severity scenarios
but similar numbers of days to avoid high-severity scenarios. Compared with
patients with PHN, community members traded fewer days to avoid high-severity
scenarios. In multivariate analyses, older age was the only characteristic signifi-
cantly associated with higher time trade-off values.
In willingness-to-pay questions, community members offered a mean of
$US450 (95% CI 203, 893) to avoid pain of level 3 for 1 month and a mean of