Int. J. Dynam. Control (2018) 6:384–397
https://doi.org/10.1007/s40435-016-0283-5
An optimal control problem for a spatiotemporal SIR model
Adil El-Alami Laaroussi
1
· Mostafa Rachik
1
· Mohamed Elhia
1,2
Received: 31 July 2016 / Revised: 1 November 2016 / Accepted: 2 November 2016 / Published online: 19 November 2016
© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2016
Abstract In this paper, an SIR spatiotemporal epidemic
model is formulated as a system of parabolic partial differen-
tial equations with no-flux boundary conditions. Immunity is
forced through vaccine distribution considered a control vari-
able. Our principal objective is to characterize an optimal
control that minimizes the number of infected individuals
and the costs associated with vaccination over a finite space
and time domain. The existence of solutions to the state sys-
tem and the existence of an optimal control is proved. An
optimal control characterization in terms of state and adjoint
functions is provided. Furthermore, a second condition of
optimality is given. The optimality systems are solved based
on an iterative discrete scheme that converges following
an appropriate test similar the one related to the forward–
backward sweep method. Numerical results are provided to
illustrate the effectiveness of our approach for several sce-
narios.
Keywords Optimal control · First order optimality
conditions · Parabolic SIR model · Second order optimality
conditions · Dual system · Numerical method
B Adil El-Alami Laaroussi
adilelalamilaaroussi@gmail.com
1
Laboratory of Analysis Modeling and Simulation,
Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Faculty
of Sciences Ben M’Sik, Hassan II University, Mohammedia,
Sidi Othman, BP 7955, Casablanca, Morocco
2
Modelling Laboratory for economics and management,
Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Faculty
of Law, Economics and Social Sciences, Beausite, Ain Sebaa,
BP 2634, Casablanca, Morocco
1 Introduction
In epidemiology, mathematical modelling has become an
important tool in analyzing the causes, dynamics, and spread
of epidemics. Indeed, mathematical models provide a deeper
insight into the underlying mechanisms for the spread of
emerging and reemerging infectious diseases and allow
authorities to make decisions regarding the effective con-
trol strategies [1]. The analysis of mathematical models
describing epidemics spreading bring answers to some very
important questions such as:
– How many people will be infected?
– What is the expected maximum number of people
infected at any given time?
– What is the estimated duration of the epidemic?
– What is the effect of control measures (isolation, quar-
antine, vaccine and treatment) on the spread of most
infectious diseases?
To give a full account on mathematical study of diseases
would require a book in itself. However, an interesting
overview on the use of mathematical models in epidemi-
ology, can be found in Baily et al. [2], Anderson et al. [3],
Hethcote [4], Brauer and Castillo-Chavez [5], Keeling and
Rohani [6] and Huppert and Katriel [7].
One of the most basic procedures in the modelling of
diseases is to use a compartmental model, in which the pop-
ulation is divided into different groups based on the stage of
infection, with assumptions about the nature and time rate of
transfer from one compartment to another. Several diseases
which confer immunity against re-infection were modeled
using the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model. In this
model, the total population is divided into three disease-state
compartments. The susceptible compartment (S) consists of
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