Zoonoses Public Health. 2020;00:1–15. wileyonlinelibrary.com/journal/zph | 1 © 2020 Blackwell Verlag GmbH
Received: 14 May 2019
|
Revised: 14 May 2020
|
Accepted: 21 May 2020
DOI: 10.1111/zph.12746
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Qualitative risk assessment of transmission pathways of highly
pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) virus at live poultry markets
in Dhaka city, Bangladesh
SK Shaheenur Islam
1,2
| Holy Akwar
3
| Md. Mehedi Hossain
1
| Md. Abu Sufian
1
|
Md. Zakiul Hasan
3
| Shovon Chakma
3
| Tongkorn Meeyam
4,5
|
Warangkhana Chaisowwong
4,5
| Veerasak Punyapornwithaya
5
| Nitish C. Debnath
3
|
Eric Brum
3
| Duangporn Pichpol
4,5
1
Department of Livestock Services, Krishi
Khamar Sarak, Farmgate, Dhaka, Bangladesh
2
Master of Science in Veterinary Science
(International), Faculty of Veterinary
Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang
Mai, Thailand
3
Emergency Centre for Transboundary
Animal Diseases (ECTAD) of Food and
Agriculture Organization of United Nations
(FAO-UN), Dhaka, Bangladesh
4
Department of Veterinary Biosciences
and Veterinary Public Health, Faculty of
Veterinary Medicine, Chiang Mai University,
Chiang Mai, Thailand
5
Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Veterinary
Public Health Centre for Asia Pacific
(VPHCAP), Chiang Mai University, Chiang
Mai, Thailand
Correspondence
Duangporn Pichpol, Faculty of Veterinary
Medicine, Chiang Mai University, Chiang
Mai, Thailand.
Email: duangporn.p@cmu.ac.th
Funding information
This research was funded by FAO-ECTAD
Bangladesh and Chiang Mai University,
Thailand.
Abstract
Analysis of environmental samples obtained from the Live Poultry Markets (LPMs) of
Dhaka City, Bangladesh, has revealed that the highest degree of prevalence of highly
pathogenic avian influenza A (HPAI, H5N1), besides other subtypes of the LPAI virus,
poses the plausible risk of transmission of these viruses between human and poultry
species. The present study was conducted using the OIE risk analysis framework to
assess the risk level of each pathway successively. The estimated risk parameters
were integrated towards to obtain the overall risk level for each specific HPAI trans-
mission pathway using the matrix adapted by Cristobel Zepeda accompanying other
expert consultations. The relevant data obtained from published and unpublished
sources, together with survey data of field observations, were used to formulate and
confirm the risk pathways and their associated risks. The results revealed that the risk
of the release of the HPAI virus was medium when exposure was high. Additionally,
the consequence would be considered very high with a medium degree of uncer-
tainty for all parameters. Ultimately, the overall risk for transmission was estimated
as medium with a medium degree of uncertainty. The findings of this study reveal
that there is a significant threat that HPAI virus transmission could occur among poul-
try and humans and effectively sustain within the environment of the LPMs. Our
findings are primarily focused on public health considerations, the hygienic slaughter
of poultry and the relevant cleaning and sanitation practices conducted in the LPMs
to support evidence-based decision-making processes. The findings of the study
have the potential to be used to formulate effective risk reduction measures and can
be further adapted in low-resource settings without major infrastructural changes
required of the LPMs. All of which would reduce the risk of HPAI virus release and
further lessen the degree of exposure and transmission in established LPMs.
KEYWORDS
avian influenza virus, Bangladesh, HPAI, live poultry markets, qualitative risk assessment,
spillover