arXiv:2003.12310v1 [cs.LG] 27 Mar 2020
Proceedings of Machine Learning Research 1–17, 2020 Machine Learning for Healthcare
Optimization of genomic classifiers for clinical deployment:
evaluation of Bayesian optimization for identification of
predictive models of acute infection and in-hospital mortality
Michael B. Mayhew mmayhew@inflammatix.com
Inflammatix, Inc.
Burlingame, California, USA
Elizabeth Tran etran@inflammatix.com
Inflammatix, Inc.
Burlingame, California, USA
Kirindi Choi kchoi@inflammatix.com
Inflammatix, Inc.
Burlingame, California, USA
Uros Midic umidic@inflammatix.com
Inflammatix, Inc.
Burlingame, California, USA
Roland Luethy rluethy@inflammatix.com
Inflammatix, Inc.
Burlingame, California, USA
Nandita Damaraju ndamaraju@inflammatix.com
Inflammatix, Inc.
Burlingame, California, USA
Ljubomir Buturovic lbuturovic@inflammatix.com
Inflammatix, Inc.
Burlingame, California, USA
Editor: Editor’s name
Abstract Acute infection, if not rapidly and accurately detected, can lead to sepsis, organ
failure and even death. Currently, detection of acute infection as well as assessment of a
patient’s severity of illness are based on imperfect (and often superficial) measures of pa-
tient physiology. Characterization of a patient’s immune response by quantifying expression
levels of key genes from blood represents a potentially more timely and precise means of de-
tecting acute infection and severe illness. Machine learning methods provide a platform for
development of deployment-ready classification models robust to the smaller, more hetero-
geneous datasets typical of healthcare. Identification of promising classifiers is dependent,
in part, on hyperparameter optimization (HO), for which a number of approaches including
grid search, random sampling and Bayesian optimization have been shown to be effective.
In this analysis, we compare HO approaches for the development of diagnostic classifiers
of acute infection and in-hospital mortality from gene expression of 29 diagnostic markers.
Our comprehensive analysis of a multi-study patient cohort evaluates HO for three different
© 2020 M.B. Mayhew, E. Tran, K. Choi, U. Midic, R. Luethy, N. Damaraju & L. Buturovic.