Vol.:(0123456789) 1 3
Theoretical and Applied Climatology
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-022-04259-2
ORIGINAL PAPER
Evaluating the onset, end, and length of seasons in selected stations
in Iran
Reza Doostan
1
· Bohloul Alijani
2
Received: 9 March 2022 / Accepted: 21 October 2022
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Austria, part of Springer Nature 2022
Abstract
Specifying seasons is one of the most signifcant and arduous parts of climatology studies. In the present study, seasons are
defned to apparent temperature index. For determining changes in the length, start, and end dates of the season in Iran in
line with global climate change, in this research we used daily data of apparent temperature for 32 synoptic stations with
locations and topography over a 60-year period (1959–2018). Temperature indices used for determining the start of seasons
are thresholds of apparent temperatures of 0 and 20 degrees, with a 10-day continuation and without reverting to the initial
conditions during this period for winter and summer, respectively. In the same vein, transitional seasons were specifed and
changes were analyzed using linear regression. The fndings revealed that, in various regions, the start of spring and summer
occur earlier while the start of fall and winter are delayed. The biggest statistically signifcant changes are observed at the
start of the spring and fall seasons, as the increase is 2.25 days for summer and 1.5 days for winter per decade. Therefore,
the duration of cold seasons have decreased and the duration of warm seasons have increased in climatic regions. These
changes are statistically signifcant in foothill and high-altitude regions; the hot and dry climatic range is expanding with the
increase and decrease of the summer and winter length, respectively. However, considering the inhomogeneity of altitude
and geographical phenomena in the Iranian plateau and its fat northern and southern regions, these changes are not uniform
or equivalent. We can say that, overall, climate change, as a direct factor infuencing season change and climatic belts, plays
a more infuential role in comparison with local factors.
1 Introduction
According to the reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change, in the second half of the previous century,
the global warming has been accompanied by an increase
in the levels of CO
2
production caused by humans’ con-
sumption of fossil fuels, and this trend is expected to con-
tinue in the future. The most recent report of the Intergov-
ernmental Panel on Climate Change denotes an increase of
0.99 (1.4–1.8) degree in earth’s temperature compared to
the period of 1850–1900 which, in an optimistic scenario
by midcentury, will result in an increase of 1.5 to 2 degrees
compared with the base period (Allan et al. 2021). The
consequences of climate change include increased
environmental hazards and climatic abnormalities which
entail more occurrence of droughts on the globe (Dai
2011), east Africa (Haile et al. 2020), and northeast Spain
(Gaitan et al. 2020); torrential rains and foods on the globe
(Markus 2019; Tabari 2020); and heat waves on the globe
(Marx et al. 2021), Germany (Zacharias et al. 2015), Africa
(Engdaw et al. 2021), and north China (Kang et al. 2018).
Some of the consequences of climate change that afect the
earth’s ecosystem are extinction in some parts of the world
(Thomas et al. 2004), decrease in the population of plants
and animals, and immigration in diferent parts of the world
(Aitken et al. 2008; Carey 2009; Gomez-Ruiz and Lacher,
2019). The behavior of plants and animals is in line with
the movement of the sun, changes in environmental tem-
perature, and the start and end dates of thermal seasons.
Therefore, global warming and man-made climate changes
cause changes in the characteristics of seasons. Researchers
have studied these changes using varied methods such as
fxed thermal thresholds (Jaagus et al. 2003; Majewski
et al. 2014; Kitowski et al. 2019; Ruosteenoja et al. 2020),
classifcation of air masses (Lamb, 1950; Cheng et al.
* Reza Doostan
doostan@um.ac.ir
1
Department of Geography, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad,
Mashhad, Iran
2
Department of Geography, Kharzmi University, Tehran, Iran