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Postoperative complications in elderly patients and their
significance for long-term prognosis
David A. Story
Introduction
The relationship between the international phenomenon
of an aging population and perioperative care is complex.
On the one hand, we are challenged by offering advanced
medical and surgical care to patients with increasing
comorbidity up to and over 100 years old. On the other
hand, some argue that ‘seventy is the new fifty’: many
older patients are fit, have well controlled medical con-
ditions, and lead active lives. In this review, I will
examine recent work on the risk of complications and
death following surgery for older patients. I will also
examine some emerging strategies that attempt to reduce
the risk for older patients and problems associated with
assessing the risk.
What is the risk?
The largest available data set anywhere in the world is
the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program
(NSQIP) [1] developed by the Department of Veterans
Affairs in the United States. This database has records
of over 1 million patients, with around 100 thousand
patients added each year [2]. In a study [3] from this
database of 27 000 patients aged 80 years or more, the
30-day mortality after surgery was 8%, and 20% had at
least one complication. The NSQIP data collection
approach has been embraced by the American College
of Surgeons (ACS) leading to data collection in hospitals
other than Veterans’ hospitals, including private hospitals
(ASC-NSQIP) in the United States [4]. In a single
hospital study [4] in Virginia, of 1628 patients aged
70 years or more, 50% had at least one in-hospital com-
plication and 5% died within 30 days of surgery. Another
earlier study [5], on 367 patients aged 80 years or more
from two hospitals in California, found an in-hospital
mortality rate of 4.5% and a 25% complication rate.
These findings from the United States are consistent
with the studies from other countries. A recent study [6]
from Singapore on 125 patients aged 80 years or more
undergoing major abdominal surgery found a 6% 30-day
mortality and 30–40% complication rate. In another recent
paper [7
] from our hospital, we studied 1100 patients
aged 70 years or more undergoing noncardiac surgery
at three University teaching hospitals in Melbourne,
Australia. We found a 20% complication rate within 5 days
Departments of Anaesthesia and Surgery, Austin
Health, The University of Melbourne, Heidelberg,
Victoria, Australia
Correspondence to David Story, MBBS, BMedSci, MD,
FANZCA, Joint Director of Research, Department of
Anaesthesia, Austin Hospital, Heidelberg, Vic 3084,
Australia
Tel: +61 3 9496 5992; fax: +61 3 9496 3932;
e-mail: David.Story@austin.org.au
Current Opinion in Anaesthesiology 2008,
21:375–379
Purpose of review
To outline perioperative risk factors for postoperative mortality in older patients, the
relationship of these factors with long-term mortality, and to examine possible strategies
to reduce mortality.
Recent findings
For patients aged 70 years and over 30-day mortality is about 6%, whereas 20% are
likely to have at least one complication during their hospital stay. The mortality risk
increases by 10% for every year after age 70. Mortality is also strongly associated with
preoperative status and postoperative complications, particularly systemic inflammation
and renal impairment. Unplanned postoperative intensive care unit admission is an
important predictor for mortality. Requirement for postoperative vasopressors or
inotropes is associated with 50% mortality in patients aged 80 years or more. Early
postoperative complications are likely to be associated with an increased long-term
(a year or more later) mortality. Strategies such as critical care outreach may decrease
both 30-day and long-term mortality.
Summary
Strategies are needed to prevent, or at least adequately manage, complications in
elderly patients. Agreed international definitions for risks and complications can help in
assessing risks and benefits.
Keywords
complications, mortality, postoperative
Curr Opin Anaesthesiol 21:375–379
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