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Chapter 3
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-4666-8274-0.ch003
Consumer Sentiment
and Confdence during
Post-Crisis 2008:
A Panel Data Analysis
ABSTRACT
This chapter attempts to fnd out the impact of recent recession on the consumption pattern through
consumer confdence index (CCI) of selected developed and developing economies. This chapter exam-
ines how the macroeconomic variables like growth rate, infation, unemployment rate and debt-GDP
ratio etc. infuence the consumer’s confdence during 1996-2012, in which the crisis occurred in 2008.
Moreover, in this chapter we have explained the role of consumptions sentiment in terms of consumer
confdence regarding future expectation. Apart from that, from the panel data set of 11 countries, we
have found that more or less all the economies including the United States have experienced downward
movement of consumer’s confdence in the presence of the great recession of 2008-2009.
INTRODUCTION
Several authors have rightly pointed out that
though economic recession is a part of a business
cycle but it make itself an evil of own family.
Historically it has been evidenced that economic
activities like consumption pattern of households
and investment confidence of the producers of
an economy have been distorted due to a major
economic slowdown. If we start with the great
recession of 1930s as our base instance, we have
found that such a recession marked the most severe
and persistent decline in aggregate consumption
during this period
1
. In this context the second-worst
collapse has been observed in the 1974-5 recession
and it sustained for just one year. In contrast to
the previous recessions the most current reces-
sion 2008-9 has been experienced most severe
Tonmoy Chatterjee
Sidho-Kanho-Birsha University, India
Soumyananda Dinda
Sidho-Kanho-Birsha University, India