Regional development and migration in the Lower Basin of the Zambezi River. The importance of property rights Tomaz Ponce Dentinho University of Azores, Portugal article info Article history: Received 12 August 2015 Received in revised form 6 October 2016 Accepted 7 October 2016 Available online xxx Keywords: Migration Property rights Regional development Natural resources Mozambique abstract Globalization is associated with pressures and conicts over natural resources, with migration, urbani- zation and development. The analyzes these phenomena focusing the Lower Basin of the Zambezi River in Mozambique where external demand over natural resources have been associated with huge projects on transport infrastructures, coal mining and agroforestry, somehow correlated with recurring conicts. The approach proposes and uses a regional development model that highlights the impacts of the spatial allocation of property rights on income and migration. Results show the importance of resources ownership in the spatial prole of development and social unrest. © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction In most of the developing world, namely in Africa, the main economic drivers of economic growth are the rents on oil and mineral exports and the spatial allocation of public employment they allow inuencing strongly the spatial proles of economic growth [4]; actually, due to the spatial allocation of property rights, the location of oil and minerals resources that generate such rents do not coincide with places where they are spent, leading to a detachment between the local communities and the exploitation of natural local resources. Furthermore, besides environmental degradation associated to the use of natural resources, the use of natural resources under these circumstances might generate poverty, migration and conict [6,8,11]. The paper tries to analyze these phenomena focusing the Lower Basin of the Zambezi River in Mozambique where the increasing demand over natural resources have been associated with huge projects in coal mining e Tete and Moatize - energy - Cahora Bassa and Mepanda Uncua - natural gas - Temane and Pande - and also to the creation of railway corridors associated to the exploitation of those resources [1]; all this coexistent with immanent conicts over the spatial allocation of the rents obtained from the exploi- tation of those natural resources. Beyond the analysis of the impacts of major projects in the na- tional accounts due to the exploitation of natural resources per- formed by authors like [2] the focus of this paper is to understand why these projects are associated with increased migration from resource rich regions with resilient poverty to regions that own the property rights over those resources. To approach this issue for the Zambezi Basin in Mozambique, rst it is proposed a methodological tool suitable to assess the impacts on regional development associated with the spatial dis- tribution of rents coming from the exploitation of natural resources (point 2). In point 3 the model proposed is adjusted to the data available and calibrated for the districts of the Lower Basin of the Zambezi River in Mozambique; in Point 4 a discussion of the results is presented and some policy awareness and research suggestions are proposed. 2. Regional development model The conceptual regional development model adopted in this paper highlights two geographical attributes of economic growth: scale and accessibility [9]. The assumption is that scale, associated with productive capacity, and access, related to the expenditure capacity, do not necessarily go with each other due to unilateral and unbalanced transferences between regions and the indirect, induced and catalytic effects they generate. Therefore, it is possible to dene, not two (developed and poor) but four types of E-mail address: tomas.lc.dentinho@uac.pt. Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Socio-Economic Planning Sciences journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/seps http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2016.10.002 0038-0121/© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences xxx (2016) 1e16 Please cite this article in press as: Dentinho TP, Regional development and migration in the Lower Basin of the Zambezi River. The importance of property rights, Socio-Economic Planning Sciences (2016), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2016.10.002