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Transportation Research Part D
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/trd
Assessment of post-disaster reentry traffic in megaregions using
agent-based simulation
Zhao Zhang
a,
⁎
, Brian Wolshon
b
, Nelida Herrera
b
, Scott Parr
c
a
School of Transportation Science and Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, China
b
Gulf Coast Research Center for Evacuation and Transportation Resiliency, Louisiana State University, LA, United States
c
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, FL, United States
ARTICLE INFO
Keywords:
Megaregions
Post-disaster
Reentry assessment
Agent based simulation
Heterogeneity
ABSTRACT
Transportation personnel, assets, and systems play important roles during emergencies. Of par-
ticular note is the critical function of road networks as lifelines for evacuations, then, after such
events, to facilitate the rapid inflow of support personnel and resources needed to assess and
repair damage. They also provide access for the safe and rapid return of evacuees. Despite the
importance of reentry and repopulation, the role of transportation systems for them has been a
relatively lightly researched topic. This paper describes research to analyze the traffic processes
associated with post-evacuation reentry and its associated travel time and delay. To examine the
most extreme of conditions; this effort also focused on repopulation and reentry after mass
evacuations in megaregions. Among the findings of this work were that, as expected, reentry
traffic processes generally behave similar to, but in the reverse direction, of evacuations.
However, contrary to commonly held belief, they are not identically opposite. Rather, network
performance during reentry may often be better than that of evacuation. Another broad finding of
the research was that the spatial heterogeneity of traffic distribution across available roadways is
a primary factor in determining network performance, meaning the more uniform the spread of
on all links, the more efficient the network will operate. A third significant finding of this re-
search was also the importance of the temporal spreading of returnee departure times on network
efficiency.
1. Introduction
Transportation systems serve as vital lifelines to preserve health, safety, and property during times of disaster and emergency.
Among the most important ways that transportation systems, personnel, and infrastructure support emergency preparedness is
through evacuations. The management and operation of infrastructure and transit assets during such scenarios represent one of the
most visible and direct contributions of transportation before disasters and, undoubtedly, save the lives of thousands annually
throughout the world. However, just as important as the role that transportation plays before disasters is role that it plays after.
Transportation is a also key component in recovery because it underpins the restoration of communities and helps to minimize
economic impacts.
After disasters, transportation networks provide critical conduits for the safe and rapid return of evacuees. It is thought that the
faster that people can return to their homes, jobs, and schools, the faster communities will recovery and less adverse the effects of a
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2019.06.010
Received 27 March 2019; Received in revised form 26 June 2019; Accepted 26 June 2019
⁎
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: zhaozhang@buaa.edu.cn (Z. Zhang).
Transportation Research Part D 73 (2019) 307–317
1361-9209/ © 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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