World Applied Sciences Journal 31 (6): 1160-1167, 2014
ISSN 1818-4952
© IDOSI Publications, 2014
DOI: 10.5829/idosi.wasj.2014.31.06.4
Corresponding Author: Shamim Ahmad Shah, Department of Geography and Regional Development,
University of Kashmir, Srinagar,190006.
1160
Impact of Conflict on Tourist Flow and Spatial
Distribution of Tourists in Kashmir Valley
Shamim Ahmad Shah and Muzafar AhmadWani
Department of Geography and Regional Development,
University of Kashmir, Srinagar, 190006, India
Research Scholar, Department of Geography and Regional Development,
University of Kashmir, Srinagar190006, India
Abstract: Conflict and instability in Jammu and Kashmir have been a major hindrance to its development and
progress levels. Tourism is identified as the engine of growth and Development of Jammu and Kashmir
economy in general and Kashmir valley in particular. The development of tourist industry can have a significant
impact on the overall growth of the state, because of its ability to create direct and indirect employment, as well
as growth in allied industries. Tourism will likely contribute to the growth of secondary sectors such as
handicrafts, which have historically benefitted from visitors to the state. As tourism is widely recognized as a
major mechanism of employment generation, especially in the service sector, holds significant role forpoverty
alleviationand unemploymentin thestate.Kashmir being animportant tourist destination in India has witnessed
downfall because of theongoing unrest especially during the last two decades which has hindered the smooth
growth oftourism industry. The valley of Kashmir has been engulfed in a violent situation since 1989, which
has threatened the sustainability of tourism industry. The political instability in turn has greatly altered the
direction, flow, patternand volume of tourists to the destination. The present paper investigates the temporal
changes in the flow pattern of tourists to the valley and also analyses thetourist nodes of thestate which have
witnessed phenomenal increase in tourist arrivals during turmoil period.
Key words: Kashmir Valley Instability Destination Tourist Arrivals Tourism
INTRODUCTION to external shocks such as natural disasters, political
Perceptions of political instability and safety are a appealing to tourists if they are insecure or likely to
prerequisite for tourist visitation. Violent protests, social experience serious conflict [5] war, political unrest,
unrest, civil war, terrorist actions, the perceived violations terrorism, violations of human rights or heavy crime –
of humanrights, or even the mere threat of these activities regardless of the abundance of scenic or cultural
can all serve to cause tourists to alter theirtravel behavior attractions [6-8].
[1]. Tourism has emerged as one of the chief industries in Political instability related with tourism can have very
the world economy over the last Decade. Its total negative effects on tourism destinations which will
contribution comprised 9% of global GDP (US $6.6 trillion) decline the number of tourists who visit the destinations
and generated over 260 million jobs, 1 in 11 i.e. 10% of and also will bring suffering to the tourism industry.
new job creation in the world’s total job market. Tourism The effects from political instability such as armed
industry showed faster growth than other notable attacks, civil wars, bombings, attacks on tourists, wars,
industries such as manufacturing, financial services and change in government, threat of war with another country,
retail [2]. Tourism is one of the more sensitive industries, which will deter or obstruct the image of the destination
vulnerable to perceived political instability, lack of safety through media reporting and government policies and
and other uncertainties [3]. Tourism is highly susceptible even word of mouth reporting [9].
instability and terrorism [4]. Destinations are less