Theory Dec. (2018) 85:1–4
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11238-018-9654-z
Introduction to the special issue “Beliefs in Groups” of
Theory and Decision
Franz Dietrich
1
· Wlodek Rabinowicz
2
Published online: 20 June 2018
© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2018
This symposium in the overlap of philosophy and decision theory is described well
by its title “Beliefs in Groups”. Each word in the title matters, with one intended
ambiguity. The symposium is about beliefs rather than other attitudes such as prefer-
ences; these beliefs take the form of probabilities in the first three contributions, binary
yes/no beliefs (‘judgments’) in the fourth contribution, and qualitative probabilities
(‘probability grades’) in the fifth contribution. The beliefs occur in groups, which is
ambiguous between beliefs of groups as a whole and beliefs of group members. The
five contributions—all of them interesting, we believe—address several aspects of this
general theme.
Where contributions address beliefs of group members, the central question is that
of belief revision: how should individuals revise their beliefs after learning those of
others? This question is of obvious interest in the context of deliberation and exchange
of opinions. By contrast, where contributions address beliefs of the group as a whole,
the central question is that of aggregation: how should the beliefs of group members be
merged into collective beliefs? The two questions are interconnected in many ways.
For one, revising one’s beliefs may take the form of aggregating them with learnt
beliefs of others—for instance through averaging probability assignments, something
analysed in depth in the first three contributions. This approach reduces revision to
aggregation. A converse reduction is also imaginable, though not common. One might
argue that the right aggregate beliefs are those beliefs which would emerge as consen-
sus beliefs through suitable deliberation and belief revision by the group members,
be it in one revision round, finitely many revisions rounds, or a converging infinite
B Franz Dietrich
fd@franzdietrich.net
1
Paris School of Economics and CNRS, Paris, France
2
Department of Philosophy, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
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