Vol.:(0123456789) 1 3
Applied Water Science (2022) 12:272
https://doi.org/10.1007/s13201-022-01798-x
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Utilizing deep learning machine for infow forecasting in two diferent
environment regions: a case study of a tropical and semi‑arid region
Saad Mawlood Saab
1
· Faridah Othman
1
· Chee Ghuan Tan
1
· Mohammed Falah Allawi
2
· Mohsen Sherif
3
·
Ahmed El‑Shafe
1,3
Received: 2 July 2022 / Accepted: 17 October 2022
© The Author(s) 2022
Abstract
Reservoir infow (Q
fow
) forecasting is one of the crucial processes in achieving the best water resources management in a
particular catchment area. Although physical models have taken place in solving this problem, those models showed a notice-
able limitation due to their requirements for huge eforts, hydrology and climate data, and time-consuming learning process.
Hence, the recent alternative technology is the development of the machine learning models and deep learning neural network
(DLNN) is the recent promising methodology explored in the feld of water resources. The current research was adopted to
forecast Q
fow
at two diferent catchment areas characterized with diferent type of infow stochasticity, (semi-arid and topi-
cal). Validation against two classical algorithms of neural network including multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN)
and radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) was elaborated and discussed. The research was further investigated the
potential of the feature selection algorithm “genetic algorithm (GA)”, for identifying the appropriate predictors. The research
fnding confrmed the feasibility of the developed DLNN model for the investigated two case studies. In addition, the DLNN
model confrmed its capability in solving daily scale Q more accurately in comparison with the monthly scale. The applied
GA as feature selection algorithm was reduced the dimension and complexity of the learning process of the applied predictive
model. Further, the research fnding approved the adequacy of the data span used in the current investigation development
of computerized ML algorithm.
Keywords Reservoir infow · Deep learning · Lead time · Tropical region · Semi-arid region
Introduction
One of the useful and most direct ways of guiding reservoir
operation and management is reservoir infow (Q
fow
) predic-
tion; it is also useful for food control, reservoir operation,
drought management, irrigation water management, and
reservoir operation (Rezaeianzadeh et al. 2016; Xu et al.
2021). Using the forecasted Q
fow
as an input information,
the delicacy management of water resources at a reservoir
is strongly reliant on precise Q
fow
predictions (Herbert et al.
2021). In most parts of the world, accurate and real-time
daily or monthly prediction of Q
fow
remains a difcult chal-
lenge due to the nonlinearity and non-stationarity of the
associated real hydrological data (Kim et al. 2019; Lee et al.
2020). Hence, this research topic has received much atten-
tion by the water engineers and decision makers.
Reservoir infow prediction has become a major topic in
hydrologic time series over the last few decades (Esmaeilza-
deh et al. 2017; Bashir et al. 2019; Allawi et al. 2019a).
* Ahmed El-Shafe
elshafe@um.edu.my
Saad Mawlood Saab
s2003992@siswa.um.edu.my
Faridah Othman
faridahothman@um.edu.my
Chee Ghuan Tan
tancg@um.edu.my
Mohammed Falah Allawi
mohammed.falah@uoanbar.edu.iq
Mohsen Sherif
MSherif@uaeu.ac.ae
1
Civil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering,
Universiti Malaya, 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
2
Dams and Water Resources Engineering Department,
College of Engineering, University of Anbar, Ramadi 31001,
Iraq
3
National Water and Energy Center, United Arab Emirate
University, P.O. Box, 15551 Al Ain, United Arab Emirates