A comparative analysis of risk factors and stroke risk for Asian and non-Asian
men: The Asia Pacific Cohort Studies Collaboration
Karice K. Hyun
1
, Rachel R. Huxley
1,2
*, Hisatomi Arima
1
, Jean Woo
3
, Tai Hing Lam
4
,
Hirotsugu Ueshima
5
, Xianghua Fang
6
, Sanne A. E. Peters
1,7
, Sun Ha Jee
8
,
Graham G. Giles
9,10,11
, Federica Barzi
1
, and Mark Woodward
1,12
Background The risk of stroke is high in men among both
Asian and non-Asian populations, despite differences in risk
factor profiles; whether risk factors act similarly in these popu-
lations is unknown.
Aim To study the associations between five major risk factors
and stroke risk, comparing Asian with non-Asian men.
Methods We obtained data from the Asia Pacific Cohort
Studies Collaboration, a pooled analysis of individual partici-
pant data from 44 studies involving 386 411 men with 9·4
years follow-up. Using cohorts from Asia and Australia/New
Zealand Cox models were fitted to estimate risk factor asso-
ciations for ischemic and haemorrhagic stroke.
Results We identified significant, positive associations
between all five risk factors and risk of ischemic stroke. The
associations between body mass index, smoking, and diabetes
with ischemic stroke were comparable for men from Asia and
Australia/New Zealand. The association between systolic
blood pressure and ischemic stroke was stronger for Asian
than Australia/New Zealand cohorts, whereas the reverse was
true for total cholesterol. For haemorrhagic stroke, only sys-
tolic blood pressure and smoking were associated with
increased risk, although the relationship with systolic blood
pressure was significantly stronger for men from Asia than
Australia/New Zealand (P interaction = 0·03), whereas the reverse
was true for smoking (P interaction = 0·001). There was an inverse
trend of total cholesterol with haemorrhagic stroke, significant
only for Asian men.
Conclusions Men from the Asia-Pacific region share common
risk factors for stroke. Strategies aimed at lowering population
levels of systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, body mass
index, smoking, and diabetes are likely to be beneficial in
reducing stroke risk, particularly for ischemic stroke, across the
region.
Key words: Asia, epidemiology, haemorrhagic stroke, ischemic stroke,
meta-analysis, non-Asia, risk factors
Introduction
Most population studies show the age-adjusted incidence of
stroke to be higher for men than women (1–3), but the reasons for
this have yet to be fully elucidated. The sex disparity in stroke
incidence and mortality is likely to be due to a combination of
factors that includes the tendency for men, compared with
women, to have more adverse cardiovascular risk profiles (espe-
cially in higher-income countries) and a lower level of awareness
of the risk factors and symptoms of stroke (4). There are also
substantial between-country differences in the incidence of ische-
mic stroke (IS) and haemorrhagic stroke (HS), due to their dif-
ferent pathophysiology (5). HS is the less common stroke subtype
overall, but is more common in Asians than non-Asians. Differ-
ences in stroke incidence have been ascribed, in part, to inter-
country differences in the mean population level of risk factors
and to changes over time in risk factor levels due to pharmaco-
logical and nonpharmacological interventions (6,7). Country-
specific time-trend data illustrate this point. In Australia, for
example, in the decade 1998–2009, the proportion of deaths from
stroke remained largely unchanged at around 6–7% of all fatali-
ties (8) (Fig. S1). In South Korea, the opposing negative and posi-
tive trends in HS and IS mortality rates, respectively, have meant
that the proportion of all deaths due to stroke has remained high
over the same time period (around 20%; Fig. S2) (9). In contrast,
in Japan the proportion of all deaths due to stroke has declined by
nearly one-third during 1995–2010, largely due to falls in mortal-
ity from IS (Fig. S3) (10).
Given the substantial differences in population baseline risk
and incidence of stroke subtypes between Asian and non-Asian
men, comparisons of the risk factor–stroke relationships for each
population may be informative. Using individual-participant data
from the Asia Pacific Cohort Studies Collaboration (APCSC), we
examined regional differences in the associations between major
cardiovascular risk factors and stroke.
Methods
We have published details of the APCSC previously (11,12). In
brief, eligible studies had to have a cohort design with selection
Correspondence: Rachel Huxley*, Division of Epidemiology &
Community Health, University of Minnesota, 1300 S 2nd Street, Suite
300, Minneapolis, MN 55454, USA.
E-mail: rhuxley@umn.edu
1
The George Institute for Global Health, University of Sydney, Sydney,
NSW, Australia
2
Division of Epidemiology and Community Health, School of Public
Health University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
3
Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
4
Department of Community Medicine, The University of Hong Kong,
Hong Kong, China
5
Department of Health Science, Shiga University of Medical Science,
Shiga, Japan
6
Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
7
Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical
Center Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
8
Institute for Health Promotion, Graduate School of Public Health, Yonsei
University, Seoul, Korea
9
Cancer Epidemiology Centre, Cancer Council Victoria, Melbourne, Vic.,
Australia
10
Centre for MEGA Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of
Melbourne, Melbourne, Vic., Australia
11
Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash
University, Melbourne, Vic., Australia
12
Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore,
MD, USA
Conflict of interest: None declared.
DOI: 10.1111/ijs.12166
Research
© 2013 The Authors.
International Journal of Stroke © 2013 World Stroke Organization
606 Vol 8, December 2013, 606–611