Response to Letter Regarding Article, “Hormone
Therapy and Venous Thromboembolism Among
Postmenopausal Women: Impact of the Route of
Estrogen Administration and Progestogens:
The ESTHER Study”
We thank Drs Micheletti and Chevallier for their interest in our
report.
1
First, we believe that odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence
intervals (CIs) estimated from logistic regressions provide adequate
information about significance and the size and direction of the effect
of norpregnane derivatives. Because elevation in venous thrombo-
embolism (VTE) risk is substantial (OR: 4) and significantly
different from 1 (with the 95% CI not crossing 1), our results suggest
a thrombogenic effect of norpregnanes, and the probability value
(P0.006) indicates that the probability of the result being due to
chance is very small.
Second, only the main effects of the route of estrogen adminis-
tration and type of progestogens were estimated with a joint model
(Table 2 of the original article
1
). Stratified analyses by route of
estrogen administration and type of progestogens have also been
performed. Among transdermal estrogen users, women received
estrogen alone (10 cases and 35 controls; OR: 0.8, 95% CI: 0.4 to 1.8
after adjustment for obesity, family history of VTE, and varicose
veins) or combined with either micronized progesterone (13 cases
and 63 controls; OR: 0.6, 95% CI: 0.3 to 1.2), pregnane derivatives
(16 cases and 51 controls; OR: 0.8, 95% CI: 0.4 to 1.6), or
norpregnane derivatives (28 cases and 31 controls; OR: 3.1, 95% CI:
1.7 to 5.9). Among oral estrogen users, women received estrogen
alone (4 cases and 5 controls) or combined with either micronized
progesterone (6 cases and no controls), pregnane derivatives (23
cases and 28 controls), norpregnane derivatives (12 cases and 6
controls), or nortestosterone derivatives (12 cases and 7 controls).
There was no significant difference in VTE risk between any of the
progestogen subgroups among current users of oral estrogen (overall
OR: 4.5, 95% CI: 2.6 to 7.5).
Third, to allow for adequate numbers of subjects within sub-
groups, stratified analysis by time of exposure used the median of the
distribution (5 years) as a cutoff point. Unlike oral estrogens, there
was no significant interaction between the time of exposure to either
transdermal estrogens or norpregnane derivatives and VTE risk.
Therefore, differences in exposure time to hormone therapy cannot
explain our results.
Finally, although our results may be clinically relevant, we
acknowledge that interpretation of data may have been biased by the
inclusion of women with hyperestrogenic symptoms who were
prescribed norpregnane derivatives. This prescription bias was em-
phasized in the Discussion section. Regarding the absence of
thrombogenic mechanism underlying our results, Micheletti and
Chevallier quote an inconclusive small trial
2
that failed to also show
the well-known activation of blood coagulation among women using
oral estrogens. In addition, relevant hemostatic tests such as plasma-
activated protein C sensitivity were not included as end points in this
trial. Because relevant data are lacking, we are presently investigat-
ing the impact of norpregnanes on hemostasis among users of
hormone therapy in the Study of NorpregnAnes on Coagulation
(SNAC study).
Disclosures
Dr Scarabin has received research grants from Inserm, Fondation
pour la Recherche Médicale, Fondation de France, Aventis, Besins
International, Sanofi, and Servier Institute. The remaining authors
report no conflicts.
Marianne Canonico, PhD
Emmanuel Oger, MD, PhD
Geneviève Plu-Bureau, MD, PhD
Pierre-Yves Scarabin, MD, MSc
Inserm Unit 780
Cardiovascular Epidemiology Section
Villejuif, France
Jacqueline Conard, PhD
Université Paris 5 Réné Descartes
Service d’Hématologie Biologique
Hôpital Hôtel-Dieu
Paris, France
Guy Meyer, MD
Université Paris-Descartes
Faculté de Médecine
Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris
Hôpital Européen Georges Pompidou
Paris, France
Hervé Lévesque, MD
Département de Médecine Interne
Centre Hôpitalier Universitaire Rouen
Rouen, France
Nathalie Trillot, MD
Institut d’Hématologie-Transfusion
Centre Hôpitalier Universitaire Re ´gional
Lille, France
Marie-Thérèse Barrellier, MD
Service d’Explorations Fonctionnelles
CHU Côte de Nacre
Caen, France
Denis Wahl, MD, PhD
Unité de Médecine Interne Thrombose Maladies Vasculaires
CHU Nancy
Hôpital de Brabois
Vandoeuvre-Les-Nancy, France
Joseph Emmerich, MD, PhD
Université Paris Descartes
Service de Médecine Vasculaire-HTA
Hôpital Européen Georges Pompidou
Paris, France
References
1. Canonico M, Oger E, Plu-Bureau G, Conard J, Meyer G, Levesque H,
Trillot N, Barrellier MT, Wahl D, Emmerich J, Scarabin PY; Estrogen
and Thromboembolism Risk (ESTHER) Study Group. Hormone therapy
and venous thromboembolism among postmenopausal women: impact of
the route of estrogen administration and progestogens: the ESTHER
study. Circulation. 2007;115:840 – 845.
2. Conard J, Denis C, Basdevant A, Guyenne TT, Thomas JL, Degrelle H,
Ochsenbein E. Cardiovascular risk factors and combined estrogen-
progestin replacement therapy: a placebo-controlled study with
nomegestrol acetate and estradiol. Fertil Steril. 1995;64:957–962.
(Circulation. 2007;116:e363.)
© 2007 American Heart Association, Inc.
Circulation is available at http://circ.ahajournals.org DOI: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.107.715607
e363
Correspondence
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